The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Piast Gliwice v Cracovia Kraków

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 10:15 UTC

Final: Piast Gliwice 3–1 Cracovia Kraków

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Piast Gliwice (Local)

Prediction 39.17%2.55fair odd
EV -0.113%
Edge -0.044%
Kelly -0.073%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.42%39.23%39.12%41.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.372.352.5547.62%42.11%42.55%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cracovia Kraków (Visit)

Prediction 34.05%2.94fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.673%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.23%34.12%34.12%36.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.662.632.8840.82%37.66%38.02%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.78%3.73fair odd
EV +0.423%
Edge +0.113%
Kelly +0.154%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.79%26.65%26.75%27.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.403.403.7531.25%29.45%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Piast Gliwice (Local): 39.17%; Cracovia Kraków (Visit): 34.05%; Draw: 26.78%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.423%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.03%E -1.65%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV +0.423%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%4.5%2026-10-24 09:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.70%EV -7.95%E -3.38%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.38%EV -14.88%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -2.25%E -0.618%K -0.851%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 09:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -16.58%E -6.77%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 09:50
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.44%EV -4.42%E -1.81%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.53%EV -2.28%E -0.794%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.03%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-24 10:00
BetUS🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.44%EV -4.42%E -1.81%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.53%EV -2.28%E -0.794%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.03%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-24 10:05
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 09:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 09:50
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -6.77%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 09:56
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -10.79%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 10:09
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -10.79%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 10:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -15.78%E -7.34%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 09:50
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -13.82%E -6.28%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -14.88%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-24 09:56
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -8.34%E -3.56%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.62%EV -1.94%E -0.673%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 09:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -8.34%E -3.56%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.62%EV -1.94%E -0.673%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 09:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -7.95%E -3.38%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 09:55
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -0.113%E -0.044%K -0.073%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -10.45%E -3.97%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 09:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -0.113%E -0.044%K -0.073%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -10.45%E -3.97%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 09:25
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -0.113%E -0.044%K -0.073%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -10.45%E -3.97%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 09:25
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -0.113%E -0.044%K -0.073%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -10.45%E -3.97%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 09:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -0.113%E -0.044%K -0.073%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -10.45%E -3.97%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 09:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -0.113%E -0.044%K -0.073%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -10.45%E -3.97%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 09:25
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -0.113%E -0.044%K -0.073%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -10.45%E -3.97%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 09:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -0.113%E -0.044%K -0.073%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -10.45%E -3.97%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 09:25
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.66%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 10:10
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.95%E -3.38%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.49%EV -6.02%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 10:04
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.95%E -3.38%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 09:50
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 09:55
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -7.95%E -3.38%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-24 09:49
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -7.95%E -3.38%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-24 09:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -7.95%E -3.38%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 09:50
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 10:10
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-24 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-24 09:55
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-24 09:55
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -7.95%E -3.38%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 10:10
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -7.95%E -3.38%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -13.17%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-24 09:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.08%EV -17.74%E -8.45%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.18%EV -11.47%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.75%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-24 09:50
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.08%EV -7.16%E -3.02%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.19%EV -5.00%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.73%EV -10.56%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 09:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.95%E -3.38%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.24%EV -5.68%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.57%EV -10.56%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 09:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.54%EV -13.04%E -5.87%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 34.02%EV -12.15%E -4.71%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.44%EV -11.09%E -3.34%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-24 09:50
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.77%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 10:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.77%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 10:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.77%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -6.36%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 10:00
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 10:10
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -14.88%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-23 23:27
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -2.86%E -1.15%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -13.17%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 09:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 38.73%EV -11.08%E -4.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.21%EV -12.49%E -4.86%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.05%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-24 09:50
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -4.03%E -1.65%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -14.88%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.88%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-24 09:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.88%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-24 09:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.88%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-24 09:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.88%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-24 09:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.15%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.6%2026-10-24 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-10-24 10:10
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.11%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-10-24 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.38%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.26%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.6%2026-10-24 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.38%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.26%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.6%2026-10-24 10:05
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-10-24 09:45

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