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Motor Lublin v Śląsk Wrocław
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Motor Lublin (Local)
Prediction 51.70%1.93fair odd
EV -4.87%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -5.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.67%51.76%51.75%53.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.771.781.8460.98%56.58%56.18%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Śląsk Wrocław (Visit)
Prediction 23.39%4.28fair odd
EV +1.51%
Edge +0.348%
Kelly +0.452%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 4.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.71%23.33%23.37%24.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.923.954.3427.78%25.48%25.32%23.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.91%4.01fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.469%
Kelly -0.628%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.11%24.91%24.88%25.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.673.653.9428.99%27.27%27.40%25.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Motor Lublin (Local): 51.70%; Śląsk Wrocław (Visit): 23.39%; Draw: 24.91%. For Śląsk Wrocław (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.28. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53%EV -6.42%E -3.55%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.91%EV +1.51%E +0.348%K +0.452%G +0.007% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.56%EV -7.33%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 12:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV +0.574%E +0.133%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 11:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -12.11%E -7.12%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -1.77%E -0.420%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-17 12:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.10%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.34%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 12:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.10%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 12:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.17%EV -4.87%E -2.65%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.47%EV -4.34%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.36%EV -1.85%E -0.469%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 12:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.74%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 12:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.34%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.34%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.34%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.34%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.34%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.34%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.34%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.34%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 12:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -7.98%E -4.48%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 12:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-17 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -9.53%E -5.44%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.36%EV -5.83%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 10:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -11.08%E -6.44%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-17 11:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -10.56%E -6.10%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -6.44%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-17 11:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -5.91%E -3.25%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.61%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.34%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -5.91%E -3.25%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.61%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.34%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 12:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -5.91%E -3.25%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.61%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.34%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 12:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.27%EV -7.46%E -4.17%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -7.61%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 12:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -7.98%E -4.48%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -7.61%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-17 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -7.98%E -4.48%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -7.61%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-17 12:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.78%EV -7.98%E -4.48%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.78%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 12:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -9.53%E -5.44%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -8.78%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 12:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -9.53%E -5.44%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -8.78%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 12:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.53%E -5.44%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -8.78%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-17 12:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -9.53%E -5.44%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -8.78%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-17 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -9.53%E -5.44%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -8.78%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-17 10:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -12.11%E -7.12%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -8.78%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-17 12:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -9.01%E -5.12%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -9.95%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 12:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -8.49%E -4.80%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -9.95%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-17 12:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -9.53%E -5.44%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -9.95%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -8.49%E -4.80%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.12%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -5.34%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 12:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.12%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.12%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.12%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 12:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.53%E -5.44%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.12%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-17 12:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.56%E -6.10%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.12%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 52.63%EV -15.21%E -9.28%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.71%EV -11.12%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.66%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-10-17 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.33%EV -11.59%E -6.78%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.22%EV -11.59%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -14.05%E -4.07%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-17 12:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.35%EV -10.04%E -5.77%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -12.29%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-17 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.61%EV -11.59%E -6.78%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -12.29%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.61%EV -11.59%E -6.78%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -12.29%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.61%EV -11.59%E -6.78%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -12.29%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.61%EV -11.59%E -6.78%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -12.29%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-17 11:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.10%EV -11.59%E -6.78%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.94%EV -14.63%E -4.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-17 12:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.99%EV -10.56%E -6.10%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -15.80%E -4.39%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-17 10:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.44% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.65% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91% | 0.4% | 2026-10-17 12:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.44% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 12:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.85% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.33% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81% | 2.0% | 2026-10-17 12:30 |