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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Motor Lublin v Górnik Zabrze

开赛时间： 2026-09-19 18:15 UTC

最终结果： Motor Lublin 0–0 Górnik Zabrze

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

52 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Motor Lublin (主队)

预测 29.90%3.34公平赔率
EV -1.04%
优势 -0.315%
Kelly -0.452%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.31

博彩公司预测分布
28.57%29.89%29.83%31.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.853.063.103.3135.09%32.65%32.26%30.21%最小值均值中位数最大值

Górnik Zabrze (客队)

预测 42.63%2.35公平赔率
EV -3.67%
优势 -1.62%
Kelly -2.91%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.26

博彩公司预测分布
41.48%42.65%42.73%43.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.142.152.2650.00%46.67%46.51%44.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.48%3.64公平赔率
EV -3.83%
优势 -1.09%
Kelly -1.53%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
25.77%27.46%27.44%28.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.343.303.5032.26%29.92%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Motor Lublin (主队)：29.90%；Górnik Zabrze (客队)：42.63%；平局：27.48%。 对于“Motor Lublin (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.34。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.31，期望值为-1.04%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 29.09%EV -1.04%E -0.315%K -0.452%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.60%EV -3.67%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 18:10
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -1.34%E -0.407%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 18:13
1xBet🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.60%EV -4.03%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.61%EV -4.94%E -2.22%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.79%EV -6.03%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 18:14
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -4.52%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 17:29
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -4.52%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 17:29
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -5.37%E -2.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -10.49%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 16:14
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 18:14
Marathon Bet🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.14%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -7.93%E -3.67%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.24%EV -10.42%E -3.20%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 18:10
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -7.93%E -3.67%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:00
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -7.93%E -3.67%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -7.93%E -3.67%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -7.93%E -3.67%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:00
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -7.93%E -3.67%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:00
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -7.93%E -3.67%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -7.93%E -3.67%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -7.93%E -3.67%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:00
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -7.08%E -3.25%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 18:02
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 18:00
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 18:14
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 17:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 17:24
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 16:14
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 18:10
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.49%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 17:34
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.49%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 18:14
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -10.49%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 17:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.34%EV -7.50%E -3.46%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 14:01
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 14:01
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 14:01
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 18:08
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 18:09
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 18:14
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.33%EV -11.76%E -5.68%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 18:00
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.49%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -11.81%E -4.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.18%EV -12.62%E -6.15%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -11.81%E -4.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.18%EV -12.62%E -6.15%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -11.81%E -4.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.18%EV -12.62%E -6.15%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -11.81%E -4.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.18%EV -12.62%E -6.15%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 18:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -11.81%E -4.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.39%EV -11.76%E -5.68%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -13.44%E -4.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-19 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -13.30%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.30%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.49%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -13.30%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -14.75%E -7.37%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-19 17:49
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -13.90%E -4.83%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -13.90%E -4.83%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.76%EV -12.62%E -6.15%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.81%EV -10.15%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-19 17:48
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -13.90%E -4.83%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -14.75%E -7.37%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-19 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -14.80%E -5.19%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.49%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -14.80%E -5.19%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.73%EV -12.62%E -6.15%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-19 18:09
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.50%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.50%0.2%2026-09-19 18:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-09-19 18:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-09-19 18:15
Smarkets◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-09-19 18:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-09-19 18:15
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-09-19 18:14