L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Motor Lublin v Górnik Zabrze

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 18:15 UTC

Score final : Motor Lublin 0–0 Górnik Zabrze

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Motor Lublin (Local)

Prévision 29.90%3.34cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.315%
Kelly -0.452%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.57%29.89%29.83%31.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.063.103.3135.09%32.65%32.26%30.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Górnik Zabrze (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.63%2.35cote équitable
EV -3.67%
Avantage -1.62%
Kelly -2.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.48%42.65%42.73%43.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.142.152.2650.00%46.67%46.51%44.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.48%3.64cote équitable
EV -3.83%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.77%27.46%27.44%28.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.343.303.5032.26%29.92%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Motor Lublin (Local) : 29.90% ; Górnik Zabrze (Visiteur) : 42.63% ; Match nul : 27.48%. Pour Motor Lublin (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.34. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.31, pour une espérance de -1.04% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 29.09%EV -1.04%E -0.315%K -0.452%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.60%EV -3.67%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 18:10
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -1.34%E -0.407%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 18:13
1xBet🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.60%EV -4.03%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.61%EV -4.94%E -2.22%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.79%EV -6.03%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 18:14
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -4.52%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 17:29
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -4.52%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 17:29
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -5.37%E -2.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -10.49%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 16:14
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 18:14
Marathon Bet🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.14%EV -5.53%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -7.93%E -3.67%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.24%EV -10.42%E -3.20%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 18:10
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -7.93%E -3.67%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:00
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -7.93%E -3.67%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -7.93%E -3.67%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -7.93%E -3.67%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:00
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -7.93%E -3.67%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:00
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -7.93%E -3.67%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -7.93%E -3.67%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -7.93%E -3.67%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:00
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -7.08%E -3.25%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 18:02
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 18:00
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 18:14
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 17:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 17:24
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 16:14
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 18:10
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.49%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 17:34
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.49%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 18:14
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.82%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -10.49%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 17:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.34%EV -7.50%E -3.46%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 14:01
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 14:01
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 14:01
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 18:08
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 18:09
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 18:14
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.33%EV -11.76%E -5.68%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 18:00
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.49%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -11.81%E -4.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.18%EV -12.62%E -6.15%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -11.81%E -4.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.18%EV -12.62%E -6.15%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -11.81%E -4.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.18%EV -12.62%E -6.15%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -11.81%E -4.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.18%EV -12.62%E -6.15%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 18:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -11.81%E -4.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.39%EV -11.76%E -5.68%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -13.44%E -4.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-19 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -13.30%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.35%E -3.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.30%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.49%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -13.30%E -4.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -14.75%E -7.37%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-19 17:49
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -13.90%E -4.83%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -13.90%E -4.83%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.76%EV -12.62%E -6.15%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.81%EV -10.15%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-19 17:48
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -13.90%E -4.83%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -14.75%E -7.37%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-19 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -14.80%E -5.19%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.49%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -14.80%E -5.19%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.73%EV -12.62%E -6.15%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -9.32%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-19 18:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.50%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.50%0.2%2026-09-19 18:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-09-19 18:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-09-19 18:15
Smarkets◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-09-19 18:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-09-19 18:15
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-09-19 18:14