Szkoła Kursów

Legia Warszawa v Raków Częstochowa

Początek: 2026-03-22 19:15 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Legia Warszawa (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 43.48%2.30kurs godziwy
EV -0.867%
Przewaga -0.380%
Kelly -0.677%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.28

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.19%43.40%43.68%45.21%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.852.132.152.2854.05%46.94%46.51%43.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Raków Częstochowa (Goście)

Prognoza 28.18%3.55kurs godziwy
EV +0.036%
Przewaga +0.010%
Kelly +0.014%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.10%28.30%27.96%30.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.953.203.153.5533.90%31.26%31.75%28.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.34%3.53kurs godziwy
EV -3.64%
Przewaga -1.07%
Kelly -1.52%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.20%28.31%28.36%29.68%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.233.253.4034.72%30.93%30.77%29.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.34%EV -5.65%E -2.60%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +0.036%E +0.010%K +0.014%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.55%EV -4.49%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 18:40
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.42%EV -3.48%E -1.57%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.37%E -0.392%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.04%EV -5.91%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 18:25
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.42%EV -3.48%E -1.57%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.37%E -0.392%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.04%EV -5.91%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 18:25
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 18:45
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -5.06%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 19:10
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 18:44
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 18:20
Bovada2.09I 47.85%NM 44.09%EV -9.13%E -4.37%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 18:40
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 44.09%EV -9.13%E -4.37%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 18:40
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 43.95%EV -8.26%E -3.91%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -4.75%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -8.17%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 19:09
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.49%EV -6.95%E -3.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.73%EV -8.17%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 19:05
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 18:44
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 18:44
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 19:08
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 18:45
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 18:14
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 18:45
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 18:45
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -9.56%E -4.60%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -10.72%E -3.40%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 18:25
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 18:45
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 18:20
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 18:44
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 18:40
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -0.867%E -0.380%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 18:30
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -0.867%E -0.380%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 18:30
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -0.867%E -0.380%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 18:30
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -0.867%E -0.380%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 18:30
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 18:19
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 18:20
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 18:20
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -2.17%E -0.965%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 18:30
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -2.17%E -0.965%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 18:30
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -2.17%E -0.965%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 18:30
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -2.17%E -0.965%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 18:30
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -2.17%E -0.965%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 18:30
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 13:14
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 13:14
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 13:15
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.06%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 18:20
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-22 18:45
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 44.54%EV -16.08%E -8.33%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-22 19:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -13.04%E -6.52%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -18.38%E -6.38%K -9.77%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-22 18:45
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.85%EV -13.49%E -4.39%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.94%EV -10.16%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-22 18:48
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -3.04%E -1.36%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -14.05%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 18:30
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -14.05%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.72%E -3.40%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -14.05%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.72%E -3.40%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 18:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -14.05%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -10.72%E -3.40%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 18:20
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -15.46%E -5.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.72%E -3.40%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 18:30
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 44.98%EV -19.56%E -10.57%K -23.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.74%EV -15.46%E -5.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.28%EV -13.56%E -4.45%K -6.61%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-22 18:45
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -16.87%E -5.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 18:30
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -16.87%E -5.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-22 18:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.54%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.96%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.50%0.2%2026-03-22 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.37%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-03-22 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-03-22 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-03-22 18:25
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.06%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%2.2%2026-03-22 18:20
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.1%2026-03-22 18:40