Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Korona Kielce v Raków Częstochowa

2026-09-19 12:45 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Frente a frente

32 casas de apostas (9 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Korona Kielce (Local)

Previsão 41.40%2.42odd justa
EV -4.77%
Vantagem -2.07%
Kelly -3.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.46%41.46%41.43%42.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.172.202.3050.00%46.00%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Raków Częstochowa (Visitante)

Previsão 30.74%3.25odd justa
EV -3.18%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.46%30.69%30.73%31.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.753.003.003.1536.36%33.28%33.33%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.86%3.59odd justa
EV -5.28%
Vantagem -1.55%
Kelly -2.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.86%27.85%27.83%28.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.283.303.4032.26%30.53%30.30%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Korona Kielce (Local): 41.40%; Raków Częstochowa (Visitante): 30.74%; Empate: 27.86%. Para Raków Częstochowa (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.25. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.15, com valor esperado de -3.18%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (32 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.77%E -2.07%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.72%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.16%EV -9.02%E -3.05%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 19:26
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.16%EV -9.02%E -3.05%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 19:26
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -6.56%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -7.67%E -3.44%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.69%EV -7.17%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -6.95%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 17:16
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.06%EV -8.08%E -3.64%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -9.33%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 14:21
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.06%EV -8.08%E -3.64%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -9.33%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.18%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.18%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.18%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:21
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.18%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.18%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.18%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.18%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.18%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 14:21
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 15:50
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.85%EV -9.74%E -4.47%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -9.33%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.86%E -3.75%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-12 14:21
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.37%EV -11.39%E -5.32%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -6.25%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 14:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 41.53%EV -11.81%E -5.54%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.82%EV -11.79%E -4.11%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-12 14:13
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.21%EV -12.22%E -5.77%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -13.05%E -6.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -13.94%E -4.98%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.32%EV -13.05%E -6.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -15.47%E -5.63%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -13.05%E -6.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -13.94%E -4.98%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.49%EV -13.88%E -6.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.46%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -12.24%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-12 14:21
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.49%EV -13.88%E -6.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.46%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -12.24%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.49%EV -13.88%E -6.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.46%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -12.24%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-12 14:21
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.49%EV -13.88%E -6.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.46%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -12.24%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-12 14:21
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.98%EV -17.19%E -8.60%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.16%EV -12.40%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.