L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Korona Kielce v Raków Częstochowa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 12:45 UTC

Score final : Korona Kielce 3–2 Raków Częstochowa

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Korona Kielce (Local)

Prévision 44.32%2.26cote équitable
EV -4.70%
Avantage -2.19%
Kelly -4.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.43%44.38%44.38%45.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.932.052.052.1551.81%48.79%48.78%46.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Raków Częstochowa (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.77%3.48cote équitable
EV -2.18%
Avantage -0.640%
Kelly -0.907%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.43%28.77%28.68%29.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.223.203.4033.90%31.02%31.25%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.90%3.72cote équitable
EV +0.893%
Avantage +0.238%
Kelly +0.325%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.50%26.84%26.94%28.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.413.403.7530.77%29.31%29.41%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Korona Kielce (Local) : 44.32% ; Raków Częstochowa (Visiteur) : 28.77% ; Match nul : 26.90%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.72. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.75, soit une espérance positive de +0.893%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV +0.893%E +0.238%K +0.325%G +0.003%4.6%2026-09-17 16:00
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.14%E -0.873%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.14%E -0.873%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 12:45
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.51%EV -4.70%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.31%EV -2.75%E -0.814%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.29%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.70%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 18:10
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 12:50
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.18%E -0.640%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:55
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.18%E -0.640%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:51
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.18%E -0.640%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:51
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.18%E -0.640%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:51
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.18%E -0.640%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:51
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.18%E -0.640%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:51
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.18%E -0.640%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.18%E -0.640%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 06:15
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:51
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 02:34
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -11.35%E -5.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-15 18:51
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -11.35%E -5.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-18 12:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.12%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -12.25%E -4.02%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 18:10
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.52%EV -7.81%E -3.75%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.40%EV -6.20%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -7.99%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-17 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.68%EV -8.69%E -4.22%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.41%EV -6.78%E -2.09%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.91%EV -7.99%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -6.03%E -2.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -6.03%E -2.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 12:50
BetUS🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -6.03%E -2.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 12:49
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-17 01:06
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 19:50
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 09:56
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 18:10
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 12:55
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 12:54
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 06:09
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -12.68%E -6.44%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-15 18:51
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.35%E -5.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 12:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -11.35%E -5.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -15.12%E -5.13%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-16 18:10
Bovada🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -7.81%E -3.75%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-17 17:48
Codere (IT)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -8.69%E -4.22%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -12.25%E -4.02%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-16 18:15
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -13.57%E -6.96%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.97%EV -12.68%E -6.44%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.58%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 12:54
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.45%EV -7.81%E -3.75%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -11.21%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.21%EV -11.35%E -5.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.99%EV -12.25%E -4.02%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -11.21%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-16 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.58%EV -14.01%E -7.22%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -11.21%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-15 18:51
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.58%EV -14.01%E -7.22%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -11.21%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-15 18:51
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.70%EV -14.46%E -7.49%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%EV -11.21%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-15 18:51
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.70%EV -14.46%E -7.49%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%EV -11.21%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-15 18:55
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.56%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-17 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.56%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-17 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.56%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-17 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.56%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-17 01:05
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.56%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-17 01:05
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -11.35%E -5.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -13.68%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.56%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-17 17:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 43.94%EV -11.80%E -5.93%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -13.68%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.91%EV -12.56%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-17 17:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 44.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.01%0.1%2026-09-18 13:30
Smarkets◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06%2.6%2026-09-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%7.8%2026-09-18 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%7.8%2026-09-18 14:30
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%7.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 43.16%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%8.3%2026-09-18 14:35