La scuola delle quote

Korona Kielce v Piast Gliwice

Inizio: 2026-05-01 15:30 UTC

Finale: Korona Kielce 1–1 Piast Gliwice

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Korona Kielce (Casa)

Previsione 41.77%2.39quota equa
EV -3.93%
Vantaggio -1.71%
Kelly -3.02%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.23%41.74%41.77%42.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.022.212.212.3049.50%45.28%45.25%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Piast Gliwice (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.79%3.36quota equa
EV +0.706%
Vantaggio +0.209%
Kelly +0.297%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.47%29.83%29.76%31.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.033.003.3835.71%32.98%33.33%29.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.43%3.52quota equa
EV -0.480%
Vantaggio -0.137%
Kelly -0.192%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.92%28.42%28.48%29.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.233.253.5033.33%30.92%30.77%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.02%EV -4.34%E -1.90%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.47%EV +0.706%E +0.209%K +0.297%G +0.002%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.52%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 15:15
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.18%E -2.28%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.66%EV -1.38%E -0.417%K -0.597%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.55%EV -8.73%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 15:25
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.63%EV -5.60%E -2.48%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -1.68%E -0.508%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -10.43%E -3.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 15:10
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.63%EV -5.60%E -2.48%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -1.68%E -0.508%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -10.43%E -3.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 15:10
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -6.02%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.66%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 11:05
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.02%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.66%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.01%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 15:19
Bovada2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.27%E -3.27%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -4.66%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.58%EV -11.29%E -3.62%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 15:25
BetUS2.21I 45.25%NM 41.68%EV -7.69%E -3.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.66%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.53%EV -11.29%E -3.62%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 15:04
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.66%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 15:20
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 41.92%EV -7.69%E -3.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -5.25%E -1.65%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.01%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 15:24
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -6.02%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.15%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 08:54
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.59%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 08:54
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.59%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 08:54
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.01%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 08:54
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -10.19%E -4.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 14:24
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 15:19
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.19%E -4.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 15:20
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.52%EV -11.03%E -5.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -9.13%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -14.70%E -4.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-01 15:05
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -0.480%E -0.137%K -0.192%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 11:25
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -4.76%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.32%E -0.978%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 14:45
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -4.76%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.32%E -0.978%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 14:45
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -4.76%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.32%E -0.978%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 14:45
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -4.76%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.32%E -0.978%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 14:45
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -4.76%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.75%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 14:45
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -4.76%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.75%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 14:44
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -4.76%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.75%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 14:44
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -4.76%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.75%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 14:45
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -4.76%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.75%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 14:45
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.01%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-01 15:20
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.02%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-01 07:19
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -10.19%E -4.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -3.32%E -0.978%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 14:30
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.02%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 15:25
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.19%E -4.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 08:54
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.19%E -4.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 14:44
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.19%E -4.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 14:45
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.19%E -4.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 14:45
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -12.28%E -5.85%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -10.43%E -3.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-01 08:54
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.19%E -4.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.70%E -4.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-01 15:20
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -6.85%E -3.07%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 14:45
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.41%EV -15.62%E -7.73%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.04%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.55%EV -14.70%E -4.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-01 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -6.85%E -3.07%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -13.60%E -4.69%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 14:45
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -6.85%E -3.07%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -13.60%E -4.69%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 14:45
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.60%E -4.69%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -7.59%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 15:14
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.60%E -4.69%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-01 07:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.60%E -4.69%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-01 07:19
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -12.28%E -5.85%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -13.60%E -4.69%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -10.43%E -3.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 08:54
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -14.37%E -7.01%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -13.60%E -4.69%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -9.01%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-01 07:48
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.02%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -14.19%E -4.93%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 11:24
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -14.19%E -4.93%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -7.59%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 14:45
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 40.99%EV -9.36%E -4.31%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.21%EV -15.08%E -5.29%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.01%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 14:43
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.10%EV -10.61%E -4.96%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.49%EV -9.01%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-01 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -12.28%E -5.85%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -14.70%E -4.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-01 15:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-05-01 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-01 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-01 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-01 15:20
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-01 15:20
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14%2.4%2026-05-01 15:24