مدرسة الاحتمالات

Korona Kielce v Piast Gliwice

البداية: 2026-05-01 15:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Korona Kielce 1–1 Piast Gliwice

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Korona Kielce (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.77%2.39السعر العادل
EV -3.93%
الأفضلية -1.71%
Kelly -3.02%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.23%41.74%41.77%42.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.022.212.212.3049.50%45.28%45.25%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Piast Gliwice (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.79%3.36السعر العادل
EV +0.706%
الأفضلية +0.209%
Kelly +0.297%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.47%29.83%29.76%31.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.033.003.3835.71%32.98%33.33%29.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.43%3.52السعر العادل
EV -0.480%
الأفضلية -0.137%
Kelly -0.192%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.92%28.42%28.48%29.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.233.253.5033.33%30.92%30.77%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.02%EV -4.34%E -1.90%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.47%EV +0.706%E +0.209%K +0.297%G +0.002%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.52%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 15:15
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.18%E -2.28%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.66%EV -1.38%E -0.417%K -0.597%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.55%EV -8.73%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 15:25
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.63%EV -5.60%E -2.48%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -1.68%E -0.508%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -10.43%E -3.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 15:10
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.63%EV -5.60%E -2.48%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -1.68%E -0.508%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -10.43%E -3.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 15:10
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -6.02%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.66%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 11:05
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.02%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.66%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.01%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 15:19
Bovada2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.27%E -3.27%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -4.66%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.58%EV -11.29%E -3.62%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 15:25
BetUS2.21I 45.25%NM 41.68%EV -7.69%E -3.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.66%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.53%EV -11.29%E -3.62%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 15:04
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.66%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 15:20
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 41.92%EV -7.69%E -3.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -5.25%E -1.65%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.01%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 15:24
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -6.02%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.15%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 08:54
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.59%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 08:54
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.59%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 08:54
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.01%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 08:54
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -10.19%E -4.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 14:24
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 15:19
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.19%E -4.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 15:20
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.52%EV -11.03%E -5.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -9.13%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -14.70%E -4.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-01 15:05
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -0.480%E -0.137%K -0.192%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 11:25
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -4.76%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.32%E -0.978%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 14:45
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -4.76%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.32%E -0.978%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 14:45
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -4.76%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.32%E -0.978%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 14:45
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -4.76%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.32%E -0.978%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 14:45
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -4.76%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.75%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 14:45
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -4.76%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.75%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 14:44
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -4.76%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.75%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 14:44
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -4.76%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.75%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 14:45
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -4.76%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.75%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 14:45
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.01%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-01 15:20
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.02%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-01 07:19
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -10.19%E -4.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -3.32%E -0.978%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 14:30
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.02%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 15:25
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.19%E -4.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 08:54
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.19%E -4.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 14:44
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.19%E -4.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 14:45
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.19%E -4.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 14:45
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -12.28%E -5.85%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -10.43%E -3.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-01 08:54
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.19%E -4.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.70%E -4.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-01 15:20
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -6.85%E -3.07%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 14:45
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.41%EV -15.62%E -7.73%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.04%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.55%EV -14.70%E -4.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-01 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -6.85%E -3.07%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -13.60%E -4.69%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 14:45
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -6.85%E -3.07%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -13.60%E -4.69%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 14:45
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -13.60%E -4.69%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -7.59%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 15:14
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.60%E -4.69%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-01 07:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.60%E -4.69%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-01 07:19
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -12.28%E -5.85%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -13.60%E -4.69%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -10.43%E -3.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 08:54
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -14.37%E -7.01%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -13.60%E -4.69%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -9.01%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-01 07:48
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.02%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -14.19%E -4.93%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.17%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 11:24
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -14.19%E -4.93%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -7.59%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 14:45
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 40.99%EV -9.36%E -4.31%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.21%EV -15.08%E -5.29%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.01%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 14:43
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.10%EV -10.61%E -4.96%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.49%EV -9.01%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-01 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -12.28%E -5.85%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -16.57%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -14.70%E -4.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-01 15:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-05-01 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-01 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-01 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-01 15:20
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-01 15:20
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14%2.4%2026-05-01 15:24