La scuola delle quote

Korona Kielce v Lech Poznań

Inizio: 2026-02-22 16:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Korona Kielce (Casa)

Previsione 32.61%3.07quota equa
EV -0.875%
Vantaggio -0.288%
Kelly -0.429%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.61%32.56%32.54%33.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.572.802.803.0438.91%35.73%35.71%32.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lech Poznań (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.56%2.47quota equa
EV -3.48%
Vantaggio -1.46%
Kelly -2.52%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.37%40.55%40.58%41.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.282.302.3848.78%43.84%43.48%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.84%3.73quota equa
EV -4.73%
Vantaggio -1.33%
Kelly -1.85%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.96%26.88%26.88%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.383.403.5533.33%29.57%29.41%28.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.04I 32.89%NM 31.67%EV -0.875%E -0.288%K -0.429%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.14%EV -5.10%E -2.18%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.19%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 16:15
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.02%EV -2.18%E -0.726%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.53%EV -3.88%E -1.64%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 15:30
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.02%EV -2.18%E -0.726%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.53%EV -3.88%E -1.64%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 15:30
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -3.81%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -4.70%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 16:19
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -3.81%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 15:29
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -3.81%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 16:15
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -5.44%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -4.73%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 16:05
1xBet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.24%EV -5.77%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.51%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -8.21%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 16:24
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.09%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 16:05
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -6.09%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.68%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.12%EV -8.21%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 16:25
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -6.09%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.78%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 15:29
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -6.09%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.78%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 15:29
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -6.09%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.78%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 15:30
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -6.42%E -2.24%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -11.43%E -3.47%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 15:30
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.07%E -2.48%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.69%EV -8.35%E -3.69%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 16:22
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.07%E -2.48%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.69%EV -8.35%E -3.69%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 16:25
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 16:05
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 16:04
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 16:05
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 16:05
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 16:05
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.41%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 16:05
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.41%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 16:05
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.41%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 16:05
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.41%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 16:05
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 15:35
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 15:45
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 16:20
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 16:19
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.43%E -3.47%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-22 16:20
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.43%E -3.47%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 15:29
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -14.12%E -4.41%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-22 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -14.83%E -7.06%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.49%E -6.50%K -9.74%G +0.000%16.7%2026-02-22 15:30
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -9.35%E -3.36%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.41%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 15:35
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -9.35%E -3.36%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.41%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 15:35
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -4.70%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.41%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 16:05
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -5.51%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 16:05
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.06%EV -7.13%E -3.11%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.41%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 15:45
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 15:30
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.43%E -3.47%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-22 16:15
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 16:05
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 16:05
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 16:05
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.43%E -3.47%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-22 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.43%E -3.47%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-22 15:30
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -14.83%E -7.06%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -11.43%E -3.47%K -4.97%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-22 15:29
Betclic (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.90%EV -12.94%E -4.85%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.48%EV -12.00%E -5.53%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.43%E -3.47%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-22 16:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.81%EV -13.59%E -5.13%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -12.81%E -5.96%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -12.78%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-22 16:05
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -15.22%E -5.85%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.51%EV -12.81%E -5.96%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-22 15:35
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 31.90%EV -15.22%E -5.85%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.46%EV -16.86%E -8.23%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.65%EV -19.49%E -6.50%K -9.74%G +0.000%20.6%2026-02-22 15:35
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 33.35%EV -16.20%E -6.30%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.87%EV -12.81%E -5.96%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.78%EV -14.12%E -4.41%K -6.42%G +0.000%16.7%2026-02-22 16:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-02-22 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-02-22 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-02-22 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-02-22 16:15
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.50%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%2.4%2026-02-22 16:25