La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Korona Kielce v Lech Poznań
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Korona Kielce (Local)
Predicción 32.61%3.07momio equitativo
EV -0.875%
Ventaja -0.288%
Kelly -0.429%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.61%32.56%32.54%33.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.572.802.803.0438.91%35.73%35.71%32.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lech Poznań (Visitante)
Predicción 40.56%2.47momio equitativo
EV -3.48%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -2.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.37%40.55%40.58%41.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.282.302.3848.78%43.84%43.48%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.84%3.73momio equitativo
EV -4.73%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -1.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.96%26.88%26.88%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.403.5533.33%29.57%29.41%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.67%EV -0.875%E -0.288%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.14%EV -5.10%E -2.18%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.19%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-22 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.02%EV -2.18%E -0.726%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.53%EV -3.88%E -1.64%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.02%EV -2.18%E -0.726%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.53%EV -3.88%E -1.64%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 15:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -3.81%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -4.70%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-22 16:19 |
| FanDuel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -3.81%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-22 15:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -3.81%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-22 16:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -5.44%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -4.73%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-22 16:05 |
| 1xBet | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.24%EV -5.77%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.51%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -8.21%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 16:24 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.09%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 16:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -6.09%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.68%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.12%EV -8.21%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-22 16:25 |
| 888sport | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -6.09%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.78%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-22 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -6.09%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.78%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-22 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -6.09%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.78%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-22 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -6.42%E -2.24%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -11.43%E -3.47%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-22 15:30 |
| Bovada | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.07%E -2.48%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.69%EV -8.35%E -3.69%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 16:22 |
| BetUS | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.07%E -2.48%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.69%EV -8.35%E -3.69%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 16:25 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-22 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-22 16:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-22 16:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-22 16:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-22 16:05 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.41%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 16:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.41%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 16:05 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.41%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.41%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 16:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-22 15:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-22 15:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-22 16:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-22 16:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.43%E -3.47%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-22 16:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.43%E -3.47%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 15:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -14.12%E -4.41%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-22 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -14.83%E -7.06%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.49%E -6.50%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-02-22 15:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -9.35%E -3.36%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.41%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-22 15:35 |
| Betsson | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -9.35%E -3.36%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.41%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-22 15:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -4.70%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.41%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-22 16:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -5.51%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 16:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.06%EV -7.13%E -3.11%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.41%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-22 15:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-22 15:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.43%E -3.47%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-22 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -6.07%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-22 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-22 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-22 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -7.53%E -3.30%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-22 16:05 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.43%E -3.47%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-22 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.43%E -3.47%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-22 15:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -14.83%E -7.06%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -11.43%E -3.47%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-22 15:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.90%EV -12.94%E -4.85%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.48%EV -12.00%E -5.53%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.43%E -3.47%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-22 16:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.81%EV -13.59%E -5.13%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -12.81%E -5.96%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -12.78%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-22 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -15.22%E -5.85%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.51%EV -12.81%E -5.96%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-02-22 15:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.90%EV -15.22%E -5.85%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.46%EV -16.86%E -8.23%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.65%EV -19.49%E -6.50%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 20.6% | 2026-02-22 15:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.35%EV -16.20%E -6.30%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.87%EV -12.81%E -5.96%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.78%EV -14.12%E -4.41%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-02-22 16:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-02-22 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-02-22 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-02-22 16:15 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.50% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.38% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12% | 2.4% | 2026-02-22 16:25 |