L’École des cotes

Korona Kielce v Jagiellonia Białystok

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 18:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Korona Kielce (Local)

Prévision 35.87%2.79cote équitable
EV -0.291%
Avantage -0.105%
Kelly -0.164%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.54%35.87%35.96%37.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.562.572.7842.55%39.04%38.91%35.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jagiellonia Białystok (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.09%2.70cote équitable
EV -3.56%
Avantage -1.37%
Kelly -2.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.89%37.04%37.13%38.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.272.462.482.6044.05%40.63%40.32%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.04%3.70cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -0.737%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.97%27.10%26.92%28.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.373.403.6033.33%29.69%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 34.64%EV -0.291%E -0.105%K -0.164%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.04%EV -3.56%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 18:29
1xBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.54%EV -1.37%E -0.497%K -0.781%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.77%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.68%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 18:29
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.44%EV -5.41%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -2.65%E -0.737%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 18:29
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.71%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 18:30
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.71%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 18:30
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.71%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 18:30
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.71%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 18:30
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.29%EV -5.67%E -2.16%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -8.01%E -3.23%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 18:19
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.29%EV -5.67%E -2.16%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -8.01%E -3.23%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 18:30
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.29%EV -5.67%E -2.16%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -8.01%E -3.23%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 18:31
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 35.29%EV -5.67%E -2.16%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -8.01%E -3.23%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 18:31
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 35.29%EV -5.67%E -2.16%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -8.01%E -3.23%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 18:31
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.65%E -0.737%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 18:30
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 18:31
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.41%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 18:30
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 18:31
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 18:31
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:29
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:29
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:29
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -9.86%E -4.06%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:30
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -9.86%E -4.06%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:30
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.84%EV -7.46%E -2.89%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 18:30
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.84%EV -7.46%E -2.89%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 18:29
Marathon Bet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.05%EV -7.82%E -3.04%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.05%EV -4.67%E -1.82%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -10.23%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 18:29
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 35.61%EV -8.18%E -3.20%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.89%EV -5.78%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 18:30
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 35.61%EV -8.18%E -3.20%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.89%EV -5.78%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 18:29
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 18:31
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.89%EV -4.67%E -1.82%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 18:29
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -6.71%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:29
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.92%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.54%EV -9.49%E -3.89%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -6.71%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-10 18:30
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 18:28
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 18:30
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -10.98%E -4.57%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-10 18:30
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -11.72%E -4.92%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-10 18:30
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 18:29
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 18:31
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 18:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-10 18:30
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.22%EV -13.94%E -6.01%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.31%EV -8.87%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-10 18:29
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.55%EV -12.83%E -5.46%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.15%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-10 18:30
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.36%EV -14.69%E -6.39%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-10 18:29
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -6.71%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 18:30
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.98%E -4.57%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.98%E -4.57%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 18:31
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 18:29
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 35.58%EV -13.20%E -5.46%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 37.93%EV -15.80%E -6.96%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.49%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-10 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.61%EV -13.92%E -5.80%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.91%EV -11.72%E -4.92%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.49%EV -18.88%E -6.29%K -9.44%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-10 18:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.71%EV -14.64%E -6.15%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.41%EV -10.98%E -4.57%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-10 18:30
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -15.71%E -6.69%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -12.83%E -5.46%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-10 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-04-10 18:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-04-10 18:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-04-10 18:30
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.33%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-04-10 18:31
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.28%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.09%4.0%2026-04-10 18:31
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 33.30%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67%8.0%2026-04-10 18:31