La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Korona Kielce v Jagiellonia Białystok
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Korona Kielce (Local)
Predicción 35.87%2.79momio equitativo
EV -0.291%
Ventaja -0.105%
Kelly -0.164%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.54%35.87%35.96%37.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.562.572.7842.55%39.04%38.91%35.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jagiellonia Białystok (Visitante)
Predicción 37.09%2.70momio equitativo
EV -3.56%
Ventaja -1.37%
Kelly -2.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.89%37.04%37.13%38.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.272.462.482.6044.05%40.63%40.32%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.04%3.70momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -0.737%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.97%27.10%26.92%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.373.403.6033.33%29.69%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.64%EV -0.291%E -0.105%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.04%EV -3.56%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.54%EV -1.37%E -0.497%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.77%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.68%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.44%EV -5.41%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -2.65%E -0.737%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Unibet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.71%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.71%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.71%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.71%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.29%EV -5.67%E -2.16%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -8.01%E -3.23%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-10 18:19 |
| Casumo | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.29%EV -5.67%E -2.16%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -8.01%E -3.23%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.29%EV -5.67%E -2.16%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -8.01%E -3.23%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| betPARX | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.29%EV -5.67%E -2.16%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -8.01%E -3.23%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.29%EV -5.67%E -2.16%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -8.01%E -3.23%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.65%E -0.737%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.41%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -9.86%E -4.06%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -6.75%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -9.86%E -4.06%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.84%EV -7.46%E -2.89%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.84%EV -7.46%E -2.89%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.05%EV -7.82%E -3.04%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.05%EV -4.67%E -1.82%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -10.23%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.61%EV -8.18%E -3.20%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.89%EV -5.78%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.61%EV -8.18%E -3.20%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.89%EV -5.78%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| BetUS | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.89%EV -4.67%E -1.82%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -6.71%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.92%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.54%EV -9.49%E -3.89%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -6.71%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-10 18:28 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -10.98%E -4.57%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -11.72%E -4.92%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.22%EV -13.94%E -6.01%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.31%EV -8.87%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.55%EV -12.83%E -5.46%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.15%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.36%EV -14.69%E -6.39%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -6.71%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.98%E -4.57%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.98%E -4.57%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -12.13%E -4.95%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -9.12%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 35.58%EV -13.20%E -5.46%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 37.93%EV -15.80%E -6.96%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.49%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.61%EV -13.92%E -5.80%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.91%EV -11.72%E -4.92%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.49%EV -18.88%E -6.29%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.71%EV -14.64%E -6.15%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.41%EV -10.98%E -4.57%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -15.71%E -6.69%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -12.83%E -5.46%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14% | 0.9% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14% | 0.9% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14% | 0.9% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.33% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Smarkets | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.28% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.09% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Kalshi | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.30% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |