Korona Kielce v Górnik Zabrze

2026-08-01 18:15 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

34%

35%

31%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Korona Kielce (Local)

Prediction 33.77%2.96fair odd

EV -5.10%

Edge -1.82%

Kelly -2.82%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.98%33.63%33.77%34.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.602.742.752.8138.46%36.55%36.36%35.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Górnik Zabrze (Visit)

Prediction 35.50%2.82fair odd

EV -5.22%

Edge -1.96%

Kelly -3.13%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.62%35.28%35.50%35.55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.502.612.622.6740.00%38.38%38.17%37.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 30.73%3.25fair odd

EV -5.04%

Edge -1.63%

Kelly -2.41%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.53%31.09%30.73%32.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.802.922.903.0935.71%34.30%34.48%32.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle	2.81I 35.59%NM 33.76%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.82%G +0.000%	2.67I 37.45%NM 35.53%EV -5.22%E -1.96%K -3.13%G +0.000%	3.09I 32.36%NM 30.70%EV -5.04%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-26 01:25
Marathon Bet	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.74%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%	2.61I 38.31%NM 35.55%EV -7.35%E -2.82%K -4.57%G +0.000%	3.02I 33.11%NM 30.72%EV -7.19%E -2.38%K -3.56%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-26 01:20
888sport	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -7.00%E -2.67%K -4.32%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -13.95%E -4.98%K -7.75%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-07-25 19:45
888sport (SE)	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -7.00%E -2.67%K -4.32%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -13.95%E -4.98%K -7.75%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-07-25 19:45
Mr Green (SE)	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -7.00%E -2.67%K -4.32%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -13.95%E -4.98%K -7.75%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-07-25 19:45
Bovada	2.74I 36.50%NM 33.70%EV -7.47%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -7.71%E -2.96%K -4.82%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-26 01:22
BoyleSports	2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.26%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-07-25 19:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.