The School of Odds
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Korona Kielce v GKS Katowice

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 12:45 UTC

Final: Korona Kielce 1–0 GKS Katowice

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Korona Kielce (Local)

Prediction 44.06%2.27fair odd
EV -4.83%
Edge -2.23%
Kelly -4.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.70%44.22%44.00%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.082.102.1652.63%48.12%47.62%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

GKS Katowice (Visit)

Prediction 30.07%3.33fair odd
EV +0.135%
Edge +0.041%
Kelly +0.058%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.19%29.95%30.18%31.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.053.053.3335.71%32.74%32.79%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.87%3.87fair odd
EV -0.412%
Edge -0.107%
Kelly -0.145%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.72%25.83%25.83%26.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.503.8530.30%28.47%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Korona Kielce (Local): 44.06%; GKS Katowice (Visit): 30.07%; Draw: 25.87%. For GKS Katowice (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.326. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.330, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.135%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.35%EV -6.59%E -3.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.87%EV +0.135%E +0.041%K +0.058%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.78%EV -3.52%E -0.943%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 12:34
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.76%EV -5.27%E -2.45%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.52%EV -1.97%E -0.604%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.73%EV -3.26%E -0.871%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-24 12:25
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.42%EV -7.47%E -3.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -0.412%E -0.107%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-21 12:23
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.47%E -3.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.88%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 12:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.47%E -3.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.88%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 12:40
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -9.67%E -4.72%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.87%EV -7.40%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-20 09:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -14.96%E -7.75%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -6.88%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.34%EV -10.55%E -5.20%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.95%EV -4.38%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.71%EV -7.40%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-20 09:55
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.18%EV -5.27%E -2.45%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -4.29%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 12:55
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -4.83%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.17%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 12:30
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -4.83%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.17%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 12:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -4.83%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.17%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 12:30
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -4.83%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.17%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -4.83%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.17%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 12:30
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -4.83%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.17%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -4.83%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.17%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.59%EV -4.83%E -2.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.17%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 12:30
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -9.67%E -4.72%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.17%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 12:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.27%E -2.45%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.88%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-21 13:35
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.27%E -2.45%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.88%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 04:15
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.47%E -3.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.29%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 14:15
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.47%E -3.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.05%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.47%E -3.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.05%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.47%E -3.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.05%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 12:35
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.67%E -4.72%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.47%E -2.70%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 12:40
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.67%E -4.72%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.47%E -2.70%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -11.88%E -5.94%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -8.28%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.88%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-23 12:55
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.47%E -3.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.88%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-23 06:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.47%E -3.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.17%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 00:49
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -8.35%E -4.01%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -6.88%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-23 14:16
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.47%E -3.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.47%E -2.70%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 10:49
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -7.47%E -3.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.76%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-21 13:34
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -7.47%E -3.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.76%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-21 13:35
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.47%E -3.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.05%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 12:30
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.67%E -4.72%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.47%E -2.70%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 09:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.67%E -4.72%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.47%E -2.70%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 12:30
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -8.35%E -4.01%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -12.05%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 10:46
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.33%EV -8.79%E -4.25%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.35%E -3.98%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-24 12:30
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.88%E -5.94%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.47%E -2.70%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-21 12:24
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.88%E -5.94%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.47%E -2.70%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 09:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.18%EV -9.67%E -4.72%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -11.29%E -3.83%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.64%E -4.44%K -6.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-24 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.18%EV -9.67%E -4.72%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -11.29%E -3.83%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.64%E -4.44%K -6.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-24 12:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.18%EV -9.67%E -4.72%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -11.29%E -3.83%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.64%E -4.44%K -6.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-24 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.18%EV -9.67%E -4.72%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -11.29%E -3.83%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.64%E -4.44%K -6.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-24 12:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.99%EV -11.88%E -5.94%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.13%EV -12.19%E -4.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -12.05%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-24 08:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -9.67%E -4.72%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -12.80%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -6.88%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-21 13:35
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -7.47%E -3.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.80%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.05%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-24 04:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -7.47%E -3.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.80%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.05%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-24 04:20
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.67%E -4.72%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.80%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.05%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-23 14:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -11.88%E -5.94%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -12.80%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.05%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-24 12:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.33%EV -16.28%E -8.57%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.70%EV -12.80%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.97%EV -10.76%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-24 12:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.99%EV -11.88%E -5.94%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -14.30%E -5.02%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.14%EV -9.47%E -2.70%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-21 13:35
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -14.08%E -7.22%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -15.80%E -5.64%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -9.47%E -2.70%K -3.79%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-23 06:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-10-24 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.31%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.81%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%1.7%2026-10-24 12:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.31%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.81%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%1.7%2026-10-24 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.31%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.81%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%1.7%2026-10-24 12:40
Smarkets◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.53%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%2.1%2026-10-24 12:25
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-10-24 12:30

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