Language:English
Korona Kielce v GKS Katowice
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Korona Kielce (Local)
Prediction 42.51%2.35fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.06%42.59%42.53%45.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.122.102.2851.55%47.26%47.62%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
GKS Katowice (Visit)
Prediction 30.59%3.27fair odd
EV +4.01%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.067%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.34%30.49%30.57%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.073.003.4036.36%32.58%33.33%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.90%3.72fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -0.881%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.68%26.92%26.90%28.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.373.403.6033.33%29.65%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Korona Kielce (Local): 42.51%; GKS Katowice (Visit): 30.59%; Draw: 26.90%. For GKS Katowice (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -11.57%E -5.56%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV +4.01%E +1.18%K +1.67%G +0.067% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 12:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -11.57%E -5.56%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV +4.01%E +1.18%K +1.67%G +0.067% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 12:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -11.57%E -5.56%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV +4.01%E +1.18%K +1.67%G +0.067% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 12:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -11.57%E -5.56%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV +4.01%E +1.18%K +1.67%G +0.067% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 12:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -12.42%E -6.03%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV +4.01%E +1.18%K +1.67%G +0.067% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 12:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -12.42%E -6.03%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV +4.01%E +1.18%K +1.67%G +0.067% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 12:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -12.42%E -6.03%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV +4.01%E +1.18%K +1.67%G +0.067% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -12.42%E -6.03%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV +4.01%E +1.18%K +1.67%G +0.067% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -12.42%E -6.03%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV +4.01%E +1.18%K +1.67%G +0.067% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -13.27%E -6.51%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV +2.48%E +0.739%K +1.05%G +0.026% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.90%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 12:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -14.12%E -6.99%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV +0.947%E +0.287%K +0.412%G +0.004% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -9.90%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 12:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -14.12%E -6.99%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV +0.947%E +0.287%K +0.412%G +0.004% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -9.90%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -14.97%E -7.49%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -0.582%E -0.179%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.33%EV -16.67%E -8.51%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -0.582%E -0.179%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.59%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-18 12:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.20%EV -17.52%E -9.03%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -2.11%E -0.660%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -13.93%E -4.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-18 12:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.57%EV -3.07%E -1.35%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.38%EV -4.56%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.04%EV -9.09%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 10:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.17%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.17%E -0.881%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.17%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -5.78%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -10.16%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 10:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.95%EV -6.05%E -2.74%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.30%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.76%EV -10.16%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 10:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.70%E -2.20%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 12:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -6.70%E -2.20%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.23%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.17%E -0.881%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 13:48 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.40%EV -4.77%E -2.13%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -8.23%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.90%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.40%EV -4.77%E -2.13%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -8.23%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.90%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.23%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.23%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.23%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.23%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 00:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -8.23%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.59%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -8.23%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.59%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.23%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.23%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.23%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 10:08 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 42.81%EV -10.30%E -4.88%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -9.76%E -3.31%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-21 00:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.29%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.29%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.29%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 16:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.72%E -5.11%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.29%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.72%E -5.11%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.29%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.29%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.59%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-24 00:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -10.72%E -5.11%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -11.29%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.90%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.72%E -5.11%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.29%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.72%E -5.11%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.29%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.13%EV -12.85%E -6.27%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -11.29%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -9.90%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-23 12:47 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.72%E -5.11%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.90%E -4.13%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.97%E -7.49%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -11.90%E -4.13%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -19.31%E -6.44%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.22%EV -12.85%E -6.27%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -12.82%E -4.50%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-21 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.73%EV -12.85%E -6.27%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -12.82%E -4.50%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.60%EV -14.12%E -6.99%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.51%EV -13.74%E -4.87%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -13.93%E -4.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-23 09:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -12.85%E -6.27%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -14.35%E -5.12%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -14.97%E -7.49%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.17%EV -15.88%E -5.77%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-23 06:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.84% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.21% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.21% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.21% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.91% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.98% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.11% | 10.1% | 2026-04-24 00:29 |