La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Korona Kielce v Arka Gdynia
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Korona Kielce (Casa)
Previsione 47.89%2.09quota equa
EV -3.75%
Vantaggio -1.87%
Kelly -3.71%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.01
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.56%48.00%48.00%52.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.891.912.0158.14%53.00%52.36%49.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Arka Gdynia (Trasferta)
Previsione 23.52%4.25quota equa
EV +8.17%
Vantaggio +1.78%
Kelly +2.27%
Crescita +0.185%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.47%23.44%23.41%25.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.504.024.004.6028.57%24.91%25.00%21.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 28.60%3.50quota equa
EV -2.77%
Vantaggio -0.813%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.44%28.56%28.59%30.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.213.243.4035.09%31.13%30.86%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.79%EV -12.85%E -7.06%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV +8.17%E +1.78%K +2.27%G +0.185% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.77%E -0.813%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.79%EV -12.85%E -7.06%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV +8.17%E +1.78%K +2.27%G +0.185% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.77%E -0.813%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.79%EV -12.85%E -7.06%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV +8.17%E +1.78%K +2.27%G +0.185% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.77%E -0.813%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 11:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -13.81%E -7.67%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +5.82%E +1.29%K +1.66%G +0.097% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.77%E -0.813%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 11:00 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -13.81%E -7.67%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +5.82%E +1.29%K +1.66%G +0.097% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.77%E -0.813%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 11:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -13.81%E -7.67%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +5.82%E +1.29%K +1.66%G +0.097% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.77%E -0.813%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -15.24%E -8.61%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV +5.82%E +1.29%K +1.66%G +0.097% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -4.20%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.16%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV +3.47%E +0.788%K +1.02%G +0.035% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.28%EV -7.34%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 09:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.16%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV +3.47%E +0.788%K +1.02%G +0.035% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.28%EV -7.34%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 09:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -16.20%E -9.26%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV +3.47%E +0.788%K +1.02%G +0.035% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -16.20%E -9.26%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV +3.47%E +0.788%K +1.02%G +0.035% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 11:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.32%EV -4.71%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 22.00%EV +2.76%E +0.632%K +0.820%G +0.023% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.68%EV -7.34%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.67%EV -16.68%E -9.59%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV +2.29%E +0.527%K +0.684%G +0.016% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.96%EV -17.64%E -10.25%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV +2.29%E +0.527%K +0.684%G +0.016% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.29%EV -3.75%E -1.87%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV +1.82%E +0.421%K +0.547%G +0.010% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.76%EV -11.63%E -3.76%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.36%EV -2.41%E -0.581%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.55%EV -10.20%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 11:00 |
| BetUS | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -2.41%E -0.581%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 11:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -6.62%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -3.59%E -0.875%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 10:58 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -3.59%E -0.875%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| Bovada | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -3.59%E -0.875%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -10.77%E -3.45%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 11:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.62%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -9.02%E -4.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -9.02%E -4.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.62%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.29%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 11:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.62%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -9.47%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.62%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -9.47%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.58%EV -10.93%E -5.88%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.11%EV -9.94%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.31%EV -13.63%E -4.51%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-22 10:58 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -10.64%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 11:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -10.64%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -10.64%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -14.20%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-22 10:58 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -13.81%E -7.67%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.64%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-22 09:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -11.82%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -4.23%E -2.11%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -11.82%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -9.02%E -4.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.56%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -14.20%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-22 11:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -5.66%E -2.88%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -14.17%E -3.88%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -11.89%E -6.46%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -14.17%E -3.88%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.62%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.34%E -4.26%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.62%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.34%E -4.26%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -6.62%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -15.34%E -4.26%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 47.47%EV -15.72%E -8.93%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -15.34%E -4.26%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.32%EV -18.49%E -6.49%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-22 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.29%EV -10.93%E -5.88%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -16.52%E -4.65%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%EV -9.91%E -3.15%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-22 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -17.70%E -5.06%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-22 11:00 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -17.70%E -5.06%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-22 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.33%EV -12.37%E -6.76%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -17.70%E -5.06%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.44%EV -17.64%E -6.12%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 11:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.99% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93% | 3.2% | 2026-03-22 11:00 |