مدرسة الاحتمالات

Korona Kielce v Arka Gdynia

البداية: 2026-03-22 11:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Korona Kielce (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.89%2.09السعر العادل
EV -3.75%
الأفضلية -1.87%
Kelly -3.71%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.01

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.56%48.00%48.00%52.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.721.891.912.0158.14%53.00%52.36%49.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arka Gdynia (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.52%4.25السعر العادل
EV +8.17%
الأفضلية +1.78%
Kelly +2.27%
النمو +0.185%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.47%23.44%23.41%25.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.504.024.004.6028.57%24.91%25.00%21.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.60%3.50السعر العادل
EV -2.77%
الأفضلية -0.813%
Kelly -1.15%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.44%28.56%28.59%30.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.853.213.243.4035.09%31.13%30.86%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.79%EV -12.85%E -7.06%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV +8.17%E +1.78%K +2.27%G +0.185%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.77%E -0.813%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 10:59
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.79%EV -12.85%E -7.06%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV +8.17%E +1.78%K +2.27%G +0.185%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.77%E -0.813%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 10:59
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.79%EV -12.85%E -7.06%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV +8.17%E +1.78%K +2.27%G +0.185%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.77%E -0.813%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 11:00
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -13.81%E -7.67%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +5.82%E +1.29%K +1.66%G +0.097%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.77%E -0.813%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 11:00
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -13.81%E -7.67%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +5.82%E +1.29%K +1.66%G +0.097%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.77%E -0.813%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 11:00
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -13.81%E -7.67%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +5.82%E +1.29%K +1.66%G +0.097%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.77%E -0.813%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 10:59
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -15.24%E -8.61%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV +5.82%E +1.29%K +1.66%G +0.097%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -4.20%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 10:59
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.16%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV +3.47%E +0.788%K +1.02%G +0.035%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.28%EV -7.34%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 09:59
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.16%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV +3.47%E +0.788%K +1.02%G +0.035%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.28%EV -7.34%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 09:59
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -16.20%E -9.26%K -21.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV +3.47%E +0.788%K +1.02%G +0.035%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -16.20%E -9.26%K -21.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV +3.47%E +0.788%K +1.02%G +0.035%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 11:00
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.32%EV -4.71%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.00%EV +2.76%E +0.632%K +0.820%G +0.023%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.68%EV -7.34%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 11:00
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 51.67%EV -16.68%E -9.59%K -22.54%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV +2.29%E +0.527%K +0.684%G +0.016%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 10:59
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 51.96%EV -17.64%E -10.25%K -24.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV +2.29%E +0.527%K +0.684%G +0.016%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 10:59
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.29%EV -3.75%E -1.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV +1.82%E +0.421%K +0.547%G +0.010%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.76%EV -11.63%E -3.76%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 11:00
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.36%EV -2.41%E -0.581%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.55%EV -10.20%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 11:00
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -2.41%E -0.581%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 11:00
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -6.62%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -3.59%E -0.875%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 10:58
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -3.59%E -0.875%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 10:59
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -3.59%E -0.875%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -10.77%E -3.45%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 11:00
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.62%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 10:59
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -9.02%E -4.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 10:59
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -9.02%E -4.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 10:59
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.62%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.29%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 11:00
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.62%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -9.47%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 10:59
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.62%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -9.47%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 10:59
Betclic (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.58%EV -10.93%E -5.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.11%EV -9.94%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.31%EV -13.63%E -4.51%K -6.75%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-22 10:58
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -7.58%E -3.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -10.64%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 11:00
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -10.64%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 10:59
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -10.64%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -14.20%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 10:58
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -13.81%E -7.67%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.64%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-22 09:59
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -11.82%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 10:59
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -4.23%E -2.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -11.82%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 11:00
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -9.02%E -4.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 10:59
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.56%EV -5.19%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -14.20%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 11:00
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -5.66%E -2.88%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -14.17%E -3.88%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 10:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -11.89%E -6.46%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -14.17%E -3.88%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 10:59
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.62%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.34%E -4.26%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 10:59
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.62%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.34%E -4.26%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 10:59
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -6.62%E -3.40%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -15.34%E -4.26%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 10:59
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 47.47%EV -15.72%E -8.93%K -20.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -15.34%E -4.26%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.32%EV -18.49%E -6.49%K -10.00%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-22 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.29%EV -10.93%E -5.88%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -16.52%E -4.65%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%EV -9.91%E -3.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -17.70%E -5.06%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 11:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.54%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -17.70%E -5.06%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.33%EV -12.37%E -6.76%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -17.70%E -5.06%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.44%EV -17.64%E -6.12%K -9.38%G +0.000%17.9%2026-03-22 10:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-03-22 10:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-03-22 10:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-03-22 10:59
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-03-22 11:00
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 47.99%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%3.2%2026-03-22 11:00