L’École des cotes

Jagiellonia Białystok v Zagłębie Lubin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 15:32 UTC

Score final : Jagiellonia Białystok 1–0 Zagłębie Lubin

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)

Prévision 66.23%1.51cote équitable
EV -1.31%
Avantage -0.880%
Kelly -2.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.66%66.14%66.22%68.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.401.401.4976.92%71.23%71.43%67.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Zagłębie Lubin (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.30%6.99cote équitable
EV +3.71%
Avantage +0.512%
Kelly +0.594%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 7.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.10%14.35%14.26%16.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.226.337.2518.18%16.08%15.81%13.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.46%5.14cote équitable
EV -2.69%
Avantage -0.539%
Kelly -0.674%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.64%19.51%19.51%21.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.564.505.0025.00%21.92%22.22%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -5.95%E -4.19%K -14.16%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV +3.71%E +0.512%K +0.594%G +0.022%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 15:29
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -9.26%E -6.76%K -25.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +0.134%E +0.019%K +0.022%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -2.69%E -0.539%K -0.674%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 15:29
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 67.43%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.58%EV -0.581%E -0.084%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.99%EV -3.28%E -0.660%K -0.826%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 15:29
Bovada1.37I 72.99%NM 67.32%EV -9.26%E -6.76%K -25.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -3.44%E -0.510%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.02%EV -5.61%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 15:28
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 67.32%EV -9.26%E -6.76%K -25.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -3.44%E -0.510%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.02%EV -5.61%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 15:29
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.66%EV -7.93%E -5.71%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.83%EV -4.16%E -0.620%K -0.729%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:29
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.55%EV -6.61%E -4.69%K -16.12%G +0.000%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.09%EV -6.16%E -0.939%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.36%EV -11.65%E -2.57%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 15:29
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -5.95%E -4.19%K -14.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -2.69%E -0.539%K -0.674%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 15:30
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -6.59%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 15:30
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:29
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:30
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:30
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:30
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -9.26%E -6.76%K -25.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -4.64%E -0.947%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 15:30
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.42%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 15:29
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.42%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 15:29
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.42%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.42%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 15:29
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.92%E -7.30%K -27.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.92%E -7.30%K -27.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 15:28
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -8.60%E -6.23%K -22.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 15:30
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -11.91%E -8.95%K -36.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -11.91%E -8.95%K -36.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -22.16%E -5.54%K -7.39%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-23 15:30
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 66.37%EV -7.93%E -5.71%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.41%EV -8.45%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -6.59%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 15:30
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 66.37%EV -7.93%E -5.71%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.41%EV -8.45%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -6.59%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 15:30
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.10%EV -7.93%E -5.71%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -8.45%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -8.53%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 15:29
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.50%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -10.59%E -1.70%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -6.59%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 15:29
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -8.60%E -6.23%K -22.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -10.59%E -1.70%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -12.42%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 15:29
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 65.99%EV -13.90%E -10.69%K -46.32%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.06%EV -12.74%E -2.09%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.95%EV -16.32%E -3.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -1.31%E -0.880%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -14.17%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -1.31%E -0.880%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -14.17%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -1.31%E -0.880%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -14.17%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 15:29
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -1.31%E -0.880%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -14.17%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 15:30
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.90%EV -8.60%E -6.23%K -22.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -14.17%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -6.59%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.92%E -7.30%K -27.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -14.17%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.42%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-23 15:30
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.92%E -7.30%K -27.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -14.17%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.42%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-23 15:29
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.43%EV -10.58%E -7.84%K -30.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.72%EV -14.17%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.85%EV -13.40%E -3.01%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-23 15:28
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 65.94%EV -12.57%E -9.52%K -39.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -14.17%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.56%EV -13.40%E -3.01%K -3.88%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-23 15:29
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -1.97%E -1.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -17.03%E -2.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 15:25
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -1.97%E -1.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -17.03%E -2.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 15:30
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -1.97%E -1.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -17.03%E -2.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 15:30
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -1.97%E -1.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -17.03%E -2.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 15:29
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -1.97%E -1.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -17.03%E -2.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 15:29
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 63.16%EV -3.96%E -2.73%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -17.03%E -2.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -15.34%E -3.53%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 15:29
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.08%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -17.75%E -3.09%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -16.32%E -3.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.24%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -17.75%E -3.09%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -16.32%E -3.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 15:30
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 62.82%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.04%EV -19.89%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.14%EV -17.29%E -4.07%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 15:29
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -6.61%E -4.69%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.86%EV -19.89%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -18.26%E -4.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-23 15:29
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 64.89%EV -10.58%E -7.84%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.64%EV -19.89%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.47%EV -12.42%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-23 15:29
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -21.32%E -3.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.42%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -21.32%E -3.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.42%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 15:30
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.66%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -21.32%E -3.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -20.21%E -4.93%K -6.52%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-23 15:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.1%2026-05-23 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 68.82%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.95%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23%1.6%2026-05-23 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 68.82%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.95%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23%1.6%2026-05-23 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 68.82%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.95%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23%1.6%2026-05-23 15:30
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%1.9%2026-05-23 15:30
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.69%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.39%2.6%2026-05-23 15:30