La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jagiellonia Białystok v Zagłębie Lubin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)
Predicción 66.23%1.51momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.880%
Kelly -2.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.66%66.14%66.22%68.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.401.401.4976.92%71.23%71.43%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Zagłębie Lubin (Visitante)
Predicción 14.30%6.99momio equitativo
EV +3.71%
Ventaja +0.512%
Kelly +0.594%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.10%14.35%14.26%16.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.226.337.2518.18%16.08%15.81%13.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.46%5.14momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -0.539%
Kelly -0.674%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.64%19.51%19.51%21.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.564.505.0025.00%21.92%22.22%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -5.95%E -4.19%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV +3.71%E +0.512%K +0.594%G +0.022% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -9.26%E -6.76%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +0.134%E +0.019%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -2.69%E -0.539%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.43%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.58%EV -0.581%E -0.084%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 18.99%EV -3.28%E -0.660%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Bovada | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.32%EV -9.26%E -6.76%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -3.44%E -0.510%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.02%EV -5.61%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 15:28 |
| BetUS | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.32%EV -9.26%E -6.76%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -3.44%E -0.510%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.02%EV -5.61%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.66%EV -7.93%E -5.71%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.83%EV -4.16%E -0.620%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.55%EV -6.61%E -4.69%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.56I 15.24%NM 14.09%EV -6.16%E -0.939%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.36%EV -11.65%E -2.57%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -5.95%E -4.19%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -2.69%E -0.539%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -6.59%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -9.26%E -6.76%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -4.64%E -0.947%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.42%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.42%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.42%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.42%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.92%E -7.30%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.92%E -7.30%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 15:28 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -8.60%E -6.23%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -11.91%E -8.95%K -36.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -11.91%E -8.95%K -36.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -7.02%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -22.16%E -5.54%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.37%EV -7.93%E -5.71%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.41%EV -8.45%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -6.59%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.37%EV -7.93%E -5.71%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.41%EV -8.45%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -6.59%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.10%EV -7.93%E -5.71%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -8.45%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -8.53%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.50%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -10.59%E -1.70%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -6.59%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -8.60%E -6.23%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -10.59%E -1.70%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -12.42%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 65.99%EV -13.90%E -10.69%K -46.32%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.06%EV -12.74%E -2.09%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.95%EV -16.32%E -3.79%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Unibet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -1.31%E -0.880%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -14.17%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -1.31%E -0.880%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -14.17%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -1.31%E -0.880%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -14.17%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -1.31%E -0.880%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -14.17%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.90%EV -8.60%E -6.23%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -14.17%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -6.59%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.92%E -7.30%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -14.17%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.42%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.92%E -7.30%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -14.17%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.42%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.43%EV -10.58%E -7.84%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.72%EV -14.17%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.85%EV -13.40%E -3.01%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-23 15:28 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 65.94%EV -12.57%E -9.52%K -39.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -14.17%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.56%EV -13.40%E -3.01%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -1.97%E -1.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -17.03%E -2.94%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 15:25 |
| Casumo | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -1.97%E -1.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -17.03%E -2.94%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -1.97%E -1.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -17.03%E -2.94%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -1.97%E -1.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -17.03%E -2.94%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| betPARX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -1.97%E -1.33%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -17.03%E -2.94%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.16%EV -3.96%E -2.73%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -17.03%E -2.94%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -15.34%E -3.53%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.08%EV -4.62%E -3.21%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -17.75%E -3.09%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -16.32%E -3.79%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.24%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -17.75%E -3.09%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -16.32%E -3.79%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.82%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.04%EV -19.89%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.14%EV -17.29%E -4.07%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -6.61%E -4.69%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.86%EV -19.89%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -18.26%E -4.35%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.89%EV -10.58%E -7.84%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.64%EV -19.89%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.47%EV -12.42%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -21.32%E -3.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.42%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -21.32%E -3.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.42%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.66%EV -7.27%E -5.19%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -21.32%E -3.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -20.21%E -4.93%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.82% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.95% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23% | 1.6% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.82% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.95% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23% | 1.6% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.82% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.95% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23% | 1.6% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65% | 1.9% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.69% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.39% | 2.6% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |