The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Jagiellonia Białystok v Wisła Płock

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 13:46 UTC

Final: Jagiellonia Białystok 1–0 Wisła Płock

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)

Prediction 47.50%2.11fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -3.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.55%47.66%47.42%50.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.921.942.0256.50%52.01%51.55%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wisła Płock (Visit)

Prediction 26.51%3.77fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.304%
Kelly -0.415%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.49%26.41%26.57%27.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.453.503.7331.25%29.01%28.57%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.99%3.85fair odd
EV +0.063%
Edge +0.016%
Kelly +0.022%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.44%25.94%26.01%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.523.503.8530.30%28.43%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jagiellonia Białystok (Local): 47.50%; Wisła Płock (Visit): 26.51%; Draw: 25.99%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.848. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.850, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.063%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV +0.063%E +0.016%K +0.022%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 05:10
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -6.42%E -3.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -6.42%E -3.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 13:50
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -6.42%E -3.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 13:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -6.42%E -3.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 13:49
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -6.42%E -3.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 13:50
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -6.42%E -3.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -6.42%E -3.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -6.42%E -3.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -8.79%E -4.58%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-25 13:21
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%EV -4.04%E -2.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.76%EV -1.13%E -0.304%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 13:30
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -1.93%E -0.521%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 13:29
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.25%E -0.891%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 13:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.94%E -3.00%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 13:20
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.94%E -3.00%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 13:30
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.27%E -4.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 13:25
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.27%E -4.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 13:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -14.49%E -8.05%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -1.93%E -0.521%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-25 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -10.69%E -5.69%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-25 05:10
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.07%EV -13.07%E -7.14%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.49%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-25 04:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.73%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-25 13:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.17%EV -9.74%E -5.13%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -13.86%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -7.73%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-25 13:21
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.24%EV -6.89%E -3.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.30%EV -6.70%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 13:30
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-25 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%EV -7.84%E -4.04%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 13:30
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -9.27%E -4.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 13:25
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 13:20
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 13:25
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -10.22%E -5.41%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 04:50
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.13%EV -8.79%E -4.58%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -11.20%E -3.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-18 13:49
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -11.17%E -5.97%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 06:35
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -9.74%E -5.13%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 05:10
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.79%EV -11.17%E -5.97%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -11.20%E -3.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 10:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -4.99%E -2.50%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.25%E -0.891%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -10.33%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-25 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -4.99%E -2.50%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.25%E -0.891%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -10.33%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-25 13:30
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.33%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-25 13:30
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.33%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-25 13:30
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.16%EV -10.22%E -5.41%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -10.33%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-18 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -10.69%E -5.69%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -13.86%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.33%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-18 13:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -10.69%E -5.69%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -13.86%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.33%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-18 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -10.69%E -5.69%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -13.86%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.33%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-18 13:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -10.69%E -5.69%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -13.86%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.33%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-18 13:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 48.79%EV -15.92%E -8.99%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -10.33%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-25 13:21
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -9.74%E -5.13%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.63%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -9.74%E -5.13%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.63%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 13:30
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.27%E -4.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.63%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.27%E -4.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.63%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 13:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -12.12%E -6.55%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.63%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-25 13:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -12.12%E -6.55%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -13.86%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -11.63%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-25 13:24
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.23%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-25 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.23%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-25 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.37%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.23%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-25 13:30
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -12.12%E -6.55%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -14.23%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-25 13:32
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-10-25 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-10-25 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-10-25 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-10-25 13:35
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-10-25 13:40
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-10-25 13:35