Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jagiellonia Białystok v Wisła Płock

2026-10-25 13:45 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)

Prediction 49.17%2.03fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -3.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.09%49.07%49.05%50.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.881.881.9758.48%53.20%53.19%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wisła Płock (Visit)

Prediction 25.73%3.89fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -0.939%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.29%25.83%25.78%27.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.463.503.7530.77%28.91%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.10%3.98fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -0.872%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.30%25.10%25.16%25.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.593.603.8529.41%27.89%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jagiellonia Białystok (Local): 49.17%; Wisła Płock (Visit): 25.73%; Draw: 25.10%. For Jagiellonia Białystok (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.97, with an expected value of -3.13%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -3.13%E -1.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -8.38%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -3.13%E -1.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -8.38%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 13:50
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -3.13%E -1.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -8.38%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 13:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -3.13%E -1.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -8.38%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 13:49
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -3.13%E -1.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -8.38%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 13:50
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -3.13%E -1.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -8.38%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -3.13%E -1.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -8.38%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -3.13%E -1.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -8.38%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.13%EV -5.59%E -2.91%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -13.81%E -4.12%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -12.14%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-18 13:49
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -3.52%E -0.939%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -3.36%E -0.872%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -7.07%E -3.74%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.38%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.63%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 14:34
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.16%EV -7.07%E -3.74%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -15.10%E -4.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -13.40%E -3.88%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-18 13:49
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -7.56%E -4.02%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.38%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 16:45
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.56%E -4.02%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.63%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 13:50
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.56%E -4.02%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.63%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -7.56%E -4.02%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.63%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-18 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -7.56%E -4.02%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -16.39%E -5.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -13.40%E -3.88%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-18 13:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -7.56%E -4.02%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -16.39%E -5.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -13.40%E -3.88%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-18 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -7.56%E -4.02%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -16.39%E -5.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -13.40%E -3.88%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-18 13:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -7.56%E -4.02%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -16.39%E -5.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -13.40%E -3.88%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-18 13:50
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.05%E -4.31%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.61%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 14:03
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -8.05%E -4.31%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.38%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.12%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 14:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.49%EV -8.54%E -4.59%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.29%EV -6.35%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.38%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 16:39
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.03%E -4.88%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -7.38%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.63%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-18 14:05
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.02%E -5.47%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.14%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-18 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.02%E -5.47%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.53%E -3.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.63%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-18 15:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.15%EV -11.49%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.79%EV -11.76%E -3.43%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.06%EV -11.39%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-18 13:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -11.49%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.10%E -4.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -9.63%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-18 13:49
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.20%EV -11.49%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -15.10%E -4.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -14.65%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-18 14:03
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.63%EV -12.48%E -7.01%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -16.39%E -5.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -12.14%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-18 13:49
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -13.95%E -7.97%K -18.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -12.53%E -3.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -9.63%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-18 17:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 49.48%EV -15.92%E -9.31%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.64%EV -15.10%E -4.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.88%EV -14.65%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%18.2%2026-10-18 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.