Szkoła Kursów

Jagiellonia Białystok v Wisła Płock

Początek: 2026-03-21 19:15 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

51 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Jagiellonia Białystok (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 58.78%1.70kurs godziwy
EV -4.19%
Przewaga -2.57%
Kelly -6.66%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.63

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.27%58.80%58.65%61.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.381.561.571.6372.46%64.23%63.69%61.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Wisła Płock (Goście)

Prognoza 17.72%5.64kurs godziwy
EV +2.79%
Przewaga +0.481%
Kelly +0.582%
Wzrost +0.016%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.80

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.99%17.68%17.86%19.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.505.175.205.8022.22%19.34%19.23%17.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 23.50%4.26kurs godziwy
EV -3.65%
Przewaga -0.890%
Kelly -1.18%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.46%23.52%23.49%25.72%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.503.883.904.1028.57%25.80%25.64%24.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -11.25%E -7.45%K -22.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.99%EV +2.79%E +0.481%K +0.582%G +0.016%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -3.65%E -0.890%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 18:55
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.78%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.74%EV +1.91%E +0.332%K +0.401%G +0.008%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%EV -3.65%E -0.890%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 18:54
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.78%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.74%EV +1.91%E +0.332%K +0.401%G +0.008%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%EV -3.65%E -0.890%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 18:54
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.59%EV -5.96%E -3.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV +1.91%E +0.332%K +0.401%G +0.008%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 19:00
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -5.96%E -3.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.73%EV +1.55%E +0.271%K +0.328%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -3.65%E -0.890%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.39%EV -11.84%E -7.89%K -23.67%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV +1.02%E +0.179%K +0.217%G +0.002%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -3.65%E -0.890%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 17:44
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.84%E -7.89%K -23.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -2.52%E -0.459%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 18:55
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.24%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -3.41%E -0.626%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 19:05
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -4.30%E -0.796%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 18:50
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -8.31%E -5.33%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -4.30%E -0.796%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 18:47
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -8.31%E -5.33%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -4.30%E -0.796%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.96%E -3.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -6.07%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 18:40
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.96%E -3.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -6.07%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 18:39
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.96%E -3.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -6.07%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 18:40
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.96%E -3.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -6.07%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 18:39
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.95%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 18:54
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.96%E -3.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.95%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 18:59
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -6.55%E -4.12%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -6.95%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 19:05
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -8.31%E -5.33%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -6.95%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -9.52%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 19:00
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.90%E -5.74%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.95%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 18:55
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -8.90%E -5.74%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -6.95%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -11.87%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 19:00
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -7.84%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 19:00
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -7.84%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 19:00
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -7.84%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 19:00
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -7.84%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 19:00
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -7.84%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 19:00
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.59%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -8.73%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -7.17%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 18:59
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.59%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -8.73%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -7.17%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 18:59
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -8.31%E -5.33%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -9.61%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -7.17%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.78%EV -8.90%E -5.74%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -9.61%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 18:39
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.78%EV -8.90%E -5.74%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -9.61%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 18:39
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 19:00
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -11.87%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 18:49
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -5.96%E -3.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -17.75%E -5.07%K -7.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-20 13:10
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -5.96%E -3.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -17.75%E -5.07%K -7.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-20 13:10
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -5.96%E -3.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -17.75%E -5.07%K -7.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-20 13:10
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -10.07%E -6.58%K -19.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -9.52%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 18:39
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 58.85%EV -11.25%E -7.45%K -22.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-21 18:40
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -11.84%E -7.89%K -23.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-21 18:55
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -11.84%E -7.89%K -23.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-21 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.84%EV -15.36%E -10.67%K -34.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.95%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.21%EV -17.75%E -5.07%K -7.10%G +0.000%18.0%2026-03-21 18:54
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 60.27%EV -18.89%E -13.69%K -49.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.63%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.10%EV -15.40%E -4.28%K -5.92%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-21 18:55
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -8.31%E -5.33%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -14.93%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.60%EV -8.90%E -5.74%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -14.93%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -11.87%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 18:54
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.60%EV -8.90%E -5.74%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -14.93%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -11.87%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 18:54
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.07%EV -10.66%E -7.01%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.39%EV -14.93%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%EV -11.87%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-21 18:57
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 58.85%EV -14.77%E -10.19%K -32.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.78%EV -14.93%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.38%EV -14.22%E -3.90%K -5.37%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-21 19:09
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -5.96%E -3.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -15.82%E -3.33%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 18:49
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -10.07%E -6.58%K -19.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -15.82%E -3.33%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -11.87%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-21 19:04
Parions Sport (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.78%EV -10.66%E -7.01%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.49%EV -15.82%E -3.33%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -13.05%E -3.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-21 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.54%EV -10.66%E -7.01%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.44%EV -20.25%E -4.50%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-21 19:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-03-21 19:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-03-21 19:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-03-21 19:09
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-03-21 19:09
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-03-21 18:50
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.40%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%2.2%2026-03-21 19:09