L’École des cotes

Jagiellonia Białystok v Wisła Płock

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 19:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)

Prévision 58.78%1.70cote équitable
EV -4.19%
Avantage -2.57%
Kelly -6.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.27%58.80%58.65%61.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.561.571.6372.46%64.23%63.69%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wisła Płock (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.72%5.64cote équitable
EV +2.79%
Avantage +0.481%
Kelly +0.582%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 5.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.99%17.68%17.86%19.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.175.205.8022.22%19.34%19.23%17.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.50%4.26cote équitable
EV -3.65%
Avantage -0.890%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.46%23.52%23.49%25.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.883.904.1028.57%25.80%25.64%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -11.25%E -7.45%K -22.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.99%EV +2.79%E +0.481%K +0.582%G +0.016%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -3.65%E -0.890%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 18:55
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.78%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.74%EV +1.91%E +0.332%K +0.401%G +0.008%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%EV -3.65%E -0.890%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 18:54
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.78%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.74%EV +1.91%E +0.332%K +0.401%G +0.008%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%EV -3.65%E -0.890%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 18:54
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.59%EV -5.96%E -3.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV +1.91%E +0.332%K +0.401%G +0.008%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 19:00
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -5.96%E -3.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.73%EV +1.55%E +0.271%K +0.328%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -3.65%E -0.890%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.39%EV -11.84%E -7.89%K -23.67%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV +1.02%E +0.179%K +0.217%G +0.002%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -3.65%E -0.890%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 17:44
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.84%E -7.89%K -23.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -2.52%E -0.459%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 18:55
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.24%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -3.41%E -0.626%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 19:05
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -4.30%E -0.796%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 18:50
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -8.31%E -5.33%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -4.30%E -0.796%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 18:47
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -8.31%E -5.33%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -4.30%E -0.796%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.96%E -3.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -6.07%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 18:40
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.96%E -3.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -6.07%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 18:39
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.96%E -3.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -6.07%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 18:40
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.96%E -3.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -6.07%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 18:39
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.95%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 18:54
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.96%E -3.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.95%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 18:59
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -6.55%E -4.12%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -6.95%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 19:05
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -8.31%E -5.33%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -6.95%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -9.52%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 19:00
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.90%E -5.74%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.95%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 18:55
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -8.90%E -5.74%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -6.95%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -11.87%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 19:00
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -7.84%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 19:00
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -7.84%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 19:00
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -7.84%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 19:00
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -7.84%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 19:00
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -7.84%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 19:00
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.59%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -8.73%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -7.17%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 18:59
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.59%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -8.73%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -7.17%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 18:59
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -8.31%E -5.33%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -9.61%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -7.17%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.78%EV -8.90%E -5.74%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -9.61%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 18:39
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.78%EV -8.90%E -5.74%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -9.61%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 18:39
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 19:00
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -11.87%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 18:49
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -5.96%E -3.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -17.75%E -5.07%K -7.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-20 13:10
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -5.96%E -3.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -17.75%E -5.07%K -7.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-20 13:10
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -5.96%E -3.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -17.75%E -5.07%K -7.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-20 13:10
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -10.07%E -6.58%K -19.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -9.52%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 18:39
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 58.85%EV -11.25%E -7.45%K -22.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-21 18:40
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -11.84%E -7.89%K -23.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-21 18:55
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -11.84%E -7.89%K -23.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-21 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.84%EV -15.36%E -10.67%K -34.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.95%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.21%EV -17.75%E -5.07%K -7.10%G +0.000%18.0%2026-03-21 18:54
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 60.27%EV -18.89%E -13.69%K -49.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.63%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.10%EV -15.40%E -4.28%K -5.92%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-21 18:55
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -8.31%E -5.33%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -14.93%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.60%EV -8.90%E -5.74%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -14.93%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -11.87%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 18:54
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.60%EV -8.90%E -5.74%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -14.93%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -11.87%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 18:54
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.07%EV -10.66%E -7.01%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.39%EV -14.93%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%EV -11.87%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-21 18:57
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 58.85%EV -14.77%E -10.19%K -32.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.78%EV -14.93%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.38%EV -14.22%E -3.90%K -5.37%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-21 19:09
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -5.96%E -3.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -15.82%E -3.33%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 18:49
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -10.07%E -6.58%K -19.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -15.82%E -3.33%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -11.87%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-21 19:04
Parions Sport (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.78%EV -10.66%E -7.01%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.49%EV -15.82%E -3.33%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -13.05%E -3.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-21 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.54%EV -10.66%E -7.01%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.44%EV -20.25%E -4.50%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-21 19:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-03-21 19:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-03-21 19:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-03-21 19:09
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-03-21 19:09
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-03-21 18:50
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.40%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%2.2%2026-03-21 19:09