Language:English
Jagiellonia Białystok v Górnik Zabrze
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)
Prediction 36.42%2.75fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.67%36.38%36.49%38.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.492.502.6544.44%40.14%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Górnik Zabrze (Visit)
Prediction 35.48%2.82fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.15%35.56%35.41%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.592.602.7440.82%38.60%38.46%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.10%3.56fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.473%
Kelly -0.662%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.88%28.06%28.10%29.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.253.5033.33%30.63%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jagiellonia Białystok (Local): 36.42%; Górnik Zabrze (Visit): 35.48%; Draw: 28.10%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -1.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -1.65%E -0.473%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 17:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -13.07%E -5.33%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-10 17:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.44%EV -3.86%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.11%EV -2.78%E -1.01%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.46%EV -5.03%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -4.59%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -6.32%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -4.59%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -6.32%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.19%E -1.55%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-10 17:33 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.19%E -1.55%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.46%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.52%E -3.73%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.52%E -3.73%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.52%E -3.73%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -5.97%E -2.25%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -12.89%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 18:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.24%EV -7.50%E -2.95%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -6.68%E -2.54%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.24%EV -7.50%E -2.95%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -6.68%E -2.54%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.38%EV -7.86%E -3.11%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.38%EV -10.23%E -4.04%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.23%EV -5.03%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.29%E -4.52%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -4.46%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.52%E -3.73%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-10 17:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.52%E -3.73%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -11.29%E -4.52%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -11.49%E -3.65%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 18:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.27%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.48%EV -6.68%E -2.54%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -12.89%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-10 18:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.29%E -4.52%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.03%E -2.68%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.89%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -9.68%E -3.90%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.19%E -1.55%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.46%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -9.68%E -3.90%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.19%E -1.55%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.46%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -9.68%E -3.90%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.19%E -1.55%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.46%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -9.68%E -3.90%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.19%E -1.55%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.46%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -9.68%E -3.90%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.19%E -1.55%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.46%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -9.68%E -3.90%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.19%E -1.55%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.46%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -9.68%E -3.90%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.19%E -1.55%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.46%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -9.68%E -3.90%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.19%E -1.55%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.46%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.29%E -4.52%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.29%E -4.52%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -13.07%E -5.33%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -13.07%E -5.33%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-10 15:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -15.70%E -5.23%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-10 17:58 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -12.60%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -13.33%E -5.60%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -13.33%E -5.60%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -11.29%E -4.52%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -12.89%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.76%EV -13.33%E -5.60%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.28%EV -12.00%E -4.84%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 27.95%EV -12.05%E -3.85%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-10 17:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -14.42%E -6.14%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -9.52%E -3.73%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -14.42%E -6.14%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -9.52%E -3.73%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -14.42%E -6.14%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -9.52%E -3.73%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -14.42%E -6.14%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -11.29%E -4.52%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -11.49%E -3.65%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-10 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -18.06%E -8.03%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -11.29%E -4.52%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.32%EV -11.49%E -3.65%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-10-10 17:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.18% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.66% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.16% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.18% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.66% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.16% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.09% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.82% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.09% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.82% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.17% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.89% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-10-10 18:10 |