Language:English
Jagiellonia Białystok v GKS Katowice
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)
Prediction 54.06%1.85fair odd
EV -4.31%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -5.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.60%54.18%54.03%56.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.681.691.7765.79%59.35%59.17%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
GKS Katowice (Visit)
Prediction 21.86%4.58fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.269%
Kelly -0.345%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.25%21.77%21.94%22.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.264.284.5226.32%23.50%23.39%22.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.08%4.15fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.305%
Kelly -0.404%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.78%24.05%24.04%25.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.783.804.1030.30%26.47%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jagiellonia Białystok (Local): 54.06%; GKS Katowice (Visit): 21.86%; Draw: 24.08%. For GKS Katowice (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.52, with an expected value of -1.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -4.31%E -2.44%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -10.39%E -2.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -9.68%E -2.58%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -3.84%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.66%E -0.915%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 17:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -7.12%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -1.25%E -0.305%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -7.12%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -1.25%E -0.305%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.24%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.23%EV -2.31%E -0.516%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.53%EV -6.79%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-17 17:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.17%EV -5.94%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.24%EV -1.21%E -0.269%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.59%EV -1.97%E -0.485%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 17:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -5.94%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -6.07%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -6.48%E -3.74%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.68%E -2.58%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 17:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -6.48%E -3.74%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -10.39%E -2.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -9.68%E -2.58%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -6.48%E -3.74%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -14.76%E -3.79%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -15.70%E -4.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -6.48%E -3.74%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -14.76%E -3.79%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -15.70%E -4.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.56%EV -7.02%E -4.08%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.20%EV -9.30%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 17:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.56%EV -7.02%E -4.08%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.20%EV -9.30%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 17:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -7.56%E -4.42%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -6.02%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.76%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.07%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 17:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.76%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.07%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 17:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.76%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.07%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.76%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.07%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.10%E -4.76%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 17:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -8.10%E -4.76%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -13.29%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.10%E -4.76%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.70%E -4.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.10%E -4.76%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.70%E -4.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -8.64%E -5.11%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.07%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.84%EV -8.64%E -5.11%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.37%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -6.07%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 17:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.59%EV -8.64%E -5.11%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.02%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -7.27%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 17:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.59%EV -8.64%E -5.11%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.02%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -7.27%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 17:58 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -9.18%E -5.46%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -7.27%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -9.18%E -5.46%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -7.27%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 17:56 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -9.18%E -5.46%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -7.27%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -9.18%E -5.46%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -7.27%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 17:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -9.18%E -5.46%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -7.27%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -9.18%E -5.46%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -10.39%E -2.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -9.68%E -2.58%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-17 17:56 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -9.18%E -5.46%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -10.39%E -2.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -9.68%E -2.58%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-17 17:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.15%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -3.84%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -7.27%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -5.37%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.29%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-17 17:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -10.26%E -6.18%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -5.37%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58%EV -10.26%E -6.18%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.26%EV -10.26%E -6.18%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.38%EV -13.67%E -3.46%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.36%EV -12.57%E -3.46%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-17 17:58 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.00%EV -10.26%E -6.18%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -14.76%E -3.79%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -13.29%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -10.80%E -6.55%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -3.84%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 17:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -10.80%E -6.55%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -3.84%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -10.80%E -6.55%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -5.37%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.48%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.27%EV -11.88%E -7.29%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -4.93%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.68%E -2.58%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-17 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.26%EV -12.42%E -7.67%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.76%EV -10.89%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.81%EV -12.42%E -7.67%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -16.95%E -4.46%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -9.68%E -2.58%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.75%EV -12.42%E -7.67%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.89%EV -20.52%E -6.22%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-03-17 17:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.26%EV -12.96%E -8.05%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -6.02%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -10.89%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-17 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -13.50%E -8.44%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -3.66%E -0.915%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.55%EV -13.50%E -8.44%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.97%EV -14.76%E -3.79%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.48%EV -15.70%E -4.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 55.12%EV -17.83%E -11.73%K -34.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.94%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.94%EV -15.70%E -4.49%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 1.5% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.52% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41% | 1.7% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.76% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80% | 2.5% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.16% | 2.8% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26% | 3.1% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52% | 3.7% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |