L’École des cotes

Górnik Zabrze v Zagłębie Lubin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 18:17 UTC

Score final : Górnik Zabrze 0–2 Zagłębie Lubin

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Górnik Zabrze (Local)

Prévision 56.62%1.77cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -3.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.59%56.65%56.60%58.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.631.641.7266.23%61.28%60.98%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Zagłębie Lubin (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.03%5.54cote équitable
EV +2.80%
Avantage +0.491%
Kelly +0.595%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 5.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.43%17.97%18.03%19.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.015.005.7022.22%19.96%20.00%17.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.34%3.95cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -0.632%
Kelly -0.854%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.34%25.39%25.37%26.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.583.603.8530.77%27.93%27.78%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -9.97%E -6.27%K -16.90%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV +2.80%E +0.491%K +0.595%G +0.017%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -3.70%E -0.974%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 18:14
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.48%EV -5.44%E -3.26%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 16.93%EV +2.26%E +0.398%K +0.483%G +0.011%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.97%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 18:14
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -6.57%E -3.98%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -0.809%E -0.147%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.70%E -0.974%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 18:14
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -9.40%E -5.88%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -0.809%E -0.147%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 18:14
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -9.40%E -5.88%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -1.71%E -0.314%K -0.385%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -7.50%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 18:14
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.46%EV -8.84%E -5.49%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.13%EV -2.61%E -0.484%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.41%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 18:14
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -5.44%E -3.26%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -5.32%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -2.43%E -0.632%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 18:14
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.45%EV -8.27%E -5.10%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.32%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -4.97%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 18:14
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.17%EV -9.40%E -5.88%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -5.32%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 18:14
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.61%E -1.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.12%EV -5.50%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.67%EV -9.78%E -2.75%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 18:14
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 56.37%EV -6.01%E -3.62%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.22%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -7.50%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 18:14
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 56.37%EV -6.01%E -3.62%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.22%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -7.50%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 18:14
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -9.40%E -5.88%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.22%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:15
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.06%EV -8.27%E -5.10%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -7.12%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 18:14
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.06%EV -8.27%E -5.10%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -7.12%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 18:14
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -4.31%E -2.55%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 18:14
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -3.74%E -2.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.50%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 18:15
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -3.74%E -2.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.50%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 18:14
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -3.74%E -2.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.50%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 18:14
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -3.74%E -2.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.50%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 18:15
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.57%E -3.98%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 18:14
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -5.44%E -3.26%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 18:14
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -6.57%E -3.98%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -10.04%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:14
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.27%E -5.10%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 18:14
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -9.40%E -5.88%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 18:14
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.57%E -3.98%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 18:14
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.57%E -3.98%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 18:14
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.57%E -3.98%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 18:14
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -11.10%E -7.07%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 18:15
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.10%E -7.07%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 18:15
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -11.63%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 18:14
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -11.63%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 18:14
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -11.63%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 18:15
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -11.63%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 18:14
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -6.01%E -3.62%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -11.63%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.04%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:14
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.04%EV -9.40%E -5.88%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -11.63%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -4.97%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 18:14
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -9.40%E -5.88%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -11.63%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 18:14
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 57.48%EV -14.50%E -9.60%K -28.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.71%EV -11.63%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.80%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-09 18:14
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 56.47%EV -13.93%E -9.17%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.52%EV -11.63%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.01%EV -16.37%E -4.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-09 18:14
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.50%EV -7.70%E -4.73%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -12.53%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.57%E -3.98%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 18:14
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.57%E -3.98%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 18:14
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.27%E -5.10%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 18:14
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.72%EV -9.97%E -6.27%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.83%EV -13.08%E -3.81%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 18:12
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -9.40%E -5.88%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -14.34%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 18:14
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -9.40%E -5.88%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -14.34%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 18:14
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 55.38%EV -8.84%E -5.49%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -14.34%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -12.57%E -3.64%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 18:14
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.22%EV -9.40%E -5.88%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.80%EV -15.24%E -3.24%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-09 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -6.57%E -3.98%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -17.04%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 18:14
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -6.57%E -3.98%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -17.04%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 18:14
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.42%EV -11.67%E -7.48%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.13%EV -17.04%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-09 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -11.10%E -7.07%K -19.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%EV -18.84%E -4.19%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -17.64%E -5.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-09 18:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.8%2026-05-09 18:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.8%2026-05-09 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.8%2026-05-09 18:15
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.48%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87%1.8%2026-05-09 18:14
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-05-09 18:15
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.2%2026-05-09 18:14