La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Górnik Zabrze v Zagłębie Lubin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Górnik Zabrze (Local)
Predicción 56.62%1.77momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -3.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.59%56.65%56.60%58.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.631.641.7266.23%61.28%60.98%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Zagłębie Lubin (Visitante)
Predicción 18.03%5.54momio equitativo
EV +2.80%
Ventaja +0.491%
Kelly +0.595%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.43%17.97%18.03%19.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.015.005.7022.22%19.96%20.00%17.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.34%3.95momio equitativo
EV -2.43%
Ventaja -0.632%
Kelly -0.854%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.34%25.39%25.37%26.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.583.603.8530.77%27.93%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -9.97%E -6.27%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV +2.80%E +0.491%K +0.595%G +0.017% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -3.70%E -0.974%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.48%EV -5.44%E -3.26%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.67I 17.64%NM 16.93%EV +2.26%E +0.398%K +0.483%G +0.011% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.97%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -6.57%E -3.98%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -0.809%E -0.147%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.70%E -0.974%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| BetUS | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -9.40%E -5.88%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -0.809%E -0.147%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Bovada | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -9.40%E -5.88%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -1.71%E -0.314%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -7.50%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.46%EV -8.84%E -5.49%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.13%EV -2.61%E -0.484%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.41%EV -7.76%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -5.44%E -3.26%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -5.32%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -2.43%E -0.632%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.45%EV -8.27%E -5.10%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.32%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -4.97%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.17%EV -9.40%E -5.88%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -5.32%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.61%E -1.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.12%EV -5.50%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.67%EV -9.78%E -2.75%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.37%EV -6.01%E -3.62%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.22%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -7.50%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.37%EV -6.01%E -3.62%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.22%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -7.50%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -9.40%E -5.88%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.22%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 18:15 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.06%EV -8.27%E -5.10%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -7.12%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.06%EV -8.27%E -5.10%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.95%EV -7.12%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -4.31%E -2.55%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -3.74%E -2.20%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.50%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -3.74%E -2.20%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.50%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -3.74%E -2.20%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.50%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -3.74%E -2.20%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.50%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 18:15 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.57%E -3.98%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -5.44%E -3.26%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -6.57%E -3.98%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -10.04%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.27%E -5.10%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -9.40%E -5.88%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.57%E -3.98%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.57%E -3.98%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.57%E -3.98%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -11.10%E -7.07%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 18:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.10%E -7.07%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -9.83%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-09 18:15 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -11.63%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -11.63%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -11.63%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -4.87%E -2.90%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -11.63%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -6.01%E -3.62%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -11.63%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.04%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.04%EV -9.40%E -5.88%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -11.63%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -4.97%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -9.40%E -5.88%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -11.63%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.48%EV -14.50%E -9.60%K -28.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.71%EV -11.63%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.80%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 56.47%EV -13.93%E -9.17%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.52%EV -11.63%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.01%EV -16.37%E -4.96%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.50%EV -7.70%E -4.73%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -12.53%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.57%E -3.98%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.57%E -3.98%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.27%E -5.10%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.72%EV -9.97%E -6.27%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.83%EV -13.08%E -3.81%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-09 18:12 |
| BoyleSports | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -9.40%E -5.88%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -14.34%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Bet Right | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -9.40%E -5.88%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -14.34%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.38%EV -8.84%E -5.49%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -14.34%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -12.57%E -3.64%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.22%EV -9.40%E -5.88%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.80%EV -15.24%E -3.24%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -6.57%E -3.98%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -17.04%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -6.57%E -3.98%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -17.04%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.42%EV -11.67%E -7.48%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.13%EV -17.04%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -11.10%E -7.07%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%EV -18.84%E -4.19%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -17.64%E -5.43%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 18:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.48% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87% | 1.8% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Matchbook | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 18:15 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43% | 2.2% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |