Language:English
Górnik Zabrze v Radomiak Radom
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Górnik Zabrze (Local)
Prediction 65.44%1.53fair odd
EV -5.11%
Edge -3.52%
Kelly -11.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.72%65.51%65.43%67.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.401.411.4575.76%71.28%70.92%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Radomiak Radom (Visit)
Prediction 14.21%7.04fair odd
EV +4.58%
Edge +0.623%
Kelly +0.720%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 7.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.85%14.19%14.28%16.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.396.407.3618.18%15.66%15.63%13.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.35%4.91fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.487%
Kelly -0.615%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.17%20.29%20.30%21.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.454.504.8025.00%22.45%22.22%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Górnik Zabrze (Local): 65.44%; Radomiak Radom (Visit): 14.21%; Draw: 20.35%. For Radomiak Radom (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.04. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.36, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.07%EV -7.72%E -5.48%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 7.36I 13.59%NM 12.85%EV +4.58%E +0.623%K +0.720%G +0.033% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.08%EV -4.17%E -0.885%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.17%EV -7.07%E -4.98%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 7.09I 14.10%NM 13.05%EV +0.746%E +0.105%K +0.122%G +0.001% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -13.53%E -3.18%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.29%EV -6.42%E -4.49%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -0.533%E -0.076%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -4.37%E -0.930%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -8.38%E -5.98%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -0.533%E -0.076%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -3.35%E -0.706%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -11.00%E -8.09%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -0.533%E -0.076%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -2.34%E -0.487%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.65%EV -9.69%E -7.02%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -0.533%E -0.076%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.21%EV -7.42%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 15:28 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.65%EV -9.69%E -7.02%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -0.533%E -0.076%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.21%EV -7.42%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -11.00%E -8.09%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -0.533%E -0.076%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.98%EV -10.34%E -7.55%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -3.37%E -0.496%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -4.37%E -0.930%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.79%EV -5.11%E -3.52%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV -4.09%E -0.605%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -3.35%E -0.706%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.49%EV -7.72%E -5.48%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.99%EV -6.22%E -0.942%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.49%EV -7.72%E -5.48%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.99%EV -6.22%E -0.942%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -7.07%E -4.98%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -7.64%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -7.07%E -4.98%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.64%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -7.42%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -7.07%E -4.98%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.64%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -7.42%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.07%E -4.98%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -7.64%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.38%E -5.98%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -7.64%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.48%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-23 15:28 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.38%E -5.98%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -7.64%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.38%E -5.98%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -7.64%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -14.54%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.38%E -5.98%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -7.64%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -14.54%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.38%E -5.98%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -7.64%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -14.54%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -12.96%E -9.74%K -39.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -7.64%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -12.96%E -9.74%K -39.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -7.64%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -5.11%E -3.52%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -9.06%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -5.11%E -3.52%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -9.06%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -5.11%E -3.52%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -9.06%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -5.11%E -3.52%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -9.06%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -7.72%E -5.48%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -9.06%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.26%EV -7.07%E -4.98%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.59%EV -9.77%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -6.42%E -4.49%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -11.19%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -6.42%E -4.49%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -11.19%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-23 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -6.42%E -4.49%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -11.19%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -6.42%E -4.49%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -11.19%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -6.42%E -4.49%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -11.19%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.07%E -4.98%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -11.19%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -8.38%E -5.98%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -11.19%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -12.51%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -11.00%E -8.09%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -11.19%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.45%EV -7.72%E -5.48%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.90%EV -13.32%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -10.48%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.45%EV -7.72%E -5.48%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.90%EV -13.32%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -10.48%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.46%EV -8.38%E -5.98%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.79%EV -13.32%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -11.49%E -2.64%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 65.00%EV -13.61%E -10.31%K -42.54%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.07%EV -13.32%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.93%EV -16.58%E -4.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -5.11%E -3.52%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -14.74%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.38%E -5.98%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -14.74%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -7.07%E -4.98%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -14.74%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -13.53%E -3.18%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.48%EV -9.69%E -7.02%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -14.74%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -12.51%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.64%EV -10.34%E -7.55%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -14.74%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.60%EV -12.51%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-23 15:28 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.66%EV -11.00%E -8.09%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.66%EV -14.74%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.69%EV -13.53%E -3.18%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -11.00%E -8.09%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -14.74%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -14.54%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.99%EV -12.31%E -9.18%K -36.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.52%EV -14.74%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.49%EV -13.53%E -3.18%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.27%EV -10.34%E -7.55%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.72%EV -20.43%E -3.65%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.01%EV -10.48%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -5.76%E -4.00%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -21.85%E -3.97%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -5.76%E -4.00%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -21.85%E -3.97%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.23% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.23% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.23% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.97% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.32% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.71% | 1.5% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.41% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.77% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81% | 3.0% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.27% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.63% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |