Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Górnik Zabrze v GKS Katowice

Início: 2026-08-30 15:30 UTC

Final: Górnik Zabrze 2–3 GKS Katowice

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Górnik Zabrze (Local)

Previsão 51.51%1.94odd justa
EV -4.19%
Vantagem -2.25%
Kelly -4.88%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.65%51.53%51.57%53.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.681.791.781.8659.52%56.01%56.18%53.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

GKS Katowice (Visitante)

Previsão 23.45%4.26odd justa
EV +0.122%
Vantagem +0.029%
Kelly +0.037%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.85%23.44%23.39%25.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.913.904.2729.41%25.58%25.64%23.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.04%3.99odd justa
EV -0.076%
Vantagem -0.019%
Kelly -0.025%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.99

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.02%25.03%25.04%26.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.633.603.9929.41%27.53%27.78%25.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Górnik Zabrze (Local): 51.51%; GKS Katowice (Visitante): 23.45%; Empate: 25.04%. Para GKS Katowice (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.26. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.27, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.122%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.54%EV -7.80%E -4.36%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.44%EV +0.122%E +0.029%K +0.037%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.02%EV -0.076%E -0.019%K -0.025%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 15:25
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.15%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.49%EV -0.816%E -0.193%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.36%EV -9.59%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 15:20
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -1.52%E -0.362%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -3.58%E -0.930%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 15:20
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.16%EV -8.83%E -4.99%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -1.52%E -0.362%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.58%E -0.930%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.16%EV -8.83%E -4.99%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -1.52%E -0.362%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.58%E -0.930%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.16%EV -8.83%E -4.99%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -1.52%E -0.362%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.58%E -0.930%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -11.41%E -6.63%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -1.52%E -0.362%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.86%E -0.942%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -2.33%E -0.597%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 15:25
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -8.83%E -4.99%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -3.86%E -0.942%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.97%EV -9.86%E -5.63%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -5.04%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -3.83%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 15:25
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.98%EV -10.38%E -5.96%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -5.04%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 15:25
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 15:20
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 15:17
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -8.31%E -4.67%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 15:19
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 15:20
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.94%EV -8.83%E -4.99%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -4.71%E -2.55%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 15:20
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -4.71%E -2.55%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 15:25
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -6.25%E -3.44%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -13.60%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 15:20
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -6.25%E -3.44%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -13.60%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 15:20
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -9.86%E -5.63%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 15:20
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -9.86%E -5.63%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.86%E -5.63%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 15:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 15:20
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -10.90%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -8.83%E -4.99%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -10.90%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -8.31%E -4.67%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -10.90%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 15:20
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.63%EV -7.80%E -4.36%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.85%EV -10.90%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 15:14
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.86%E -5.63%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -10.90%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 15:20
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -9.34%E -5.31%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.90%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 15:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.84%EV -13.47%E -8.02%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.92%EV -10.90%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.24%EV -13.60%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-30 15:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.38%EV -11.41%E -6.63%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.38%EV -11.37%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-30 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 15:20
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.86%E -5.63%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.99%EV -10.38%E -5.96%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.99%EV -10.38%E -5.96%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.99%EV -10.38%E -5.96%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.99%EV -10.38%E -5.96%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.72%EV -9.34%E -5.31%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.24%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -9.34%E -5.31%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -13.24%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-30 15:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.27%EV -8.31%E -4.67%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -14.42%E -3.95%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.59%E -4.33%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 15:20
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.59%E -4.33%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -9.86%E -5.63%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -20.28%E -5.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-30 15:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-08-30 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-08-30 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-08-30 15:25
Matchbook◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%1.8%2026-08-30 15:25
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.97%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-08-30 15:20
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%2.9%2026-08-30 15:25