Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Górnik Zabrze v GKS Katowice

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 15:30 UTC

Score final : Górnik Zabrze 2–3 GKS Katowice

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Górnik Zabrze (Local)

Prévision 51.51%1.94cote équitable
EV -4.19%
Avantage -2.25%
Kelly -4.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.65%51.53%51.57%53.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.681.791.781.8659.52%56.01%56.18%53.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

GKS Katowice (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.45%4.26cote équitable
EV +0.122%
Avantage +0.029%
Kelly +0.037%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.85%23.44%23.39%25.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.913.904.2729.41%25.58%25.64%23.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.04%3.99cote équitable
EV -0.076%
Avantage -0.019%
Kelly -0.025%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.02%25.03%25.04%26.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.633.603.9929.41%27.53%27.78%25.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Górnik Zabrze (Local) : 51.51% ; GKS Katowice (Visiteur) : 23.45% ; Match nul : 25.04%. Pour GKS Katowice (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.26. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.27, soit une espérance positive de +0.122%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.54%EV -7.80%E -4.36%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.44%EV +0.122%E +0.029%K +0.037%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.02%EV -0.076%E -0.019%K -0.025%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 15:25
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.15%EV -4.19%E -2.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.49%EV -0.816%E -0.193%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.36%EV -9.59%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 15:20
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -1.52%E -0.362%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -3.58%E -0.930%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 15:20
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.16%EV -8.83%E -4.99%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -1.52%E -0.362%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.58%E -0.930%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.16%EV -8.83%E -4.99%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -1.52%E -0.362%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.58%E -0.930%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.16%EV -8.83%E -4.99%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -1.52%E -0.362%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.58%E -0.930%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -11.41%E -6.63%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -1.52%E -0.362%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.86%E -0.942%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -2.33%E -0.597%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 15:25
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -8.83%E -4.99%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -3.86%E -0.942%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.97%EV -9.86%E -5.63%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -5.04%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -3.83%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 15:25
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.98%EV -10.38%E -5.96%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -5.04%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 15:25
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 15:20
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 15:17
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -8.31%E -4.67%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 15:19
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 15:20
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.94%EV -8.83%E -4.99%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -4.71%E -2.55%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 15:20
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -4.71%E -2.55%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 15:25
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -6.25%E -3.44%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -13.60%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 15:20
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -6.25%E -3.44%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -13.60%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 15:20
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -9.86%E -5.63%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 15:20
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -9.86%E -5.63%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.86%E -5.63%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 15:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -9.73%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 15:20
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -10.90%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -8.83%E -4.99%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -10.90%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -8.31%E -4.67%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -10.90%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 15:20
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.63%EV -7.80%E -4.36%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.85%EV -10.90%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 15:14
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.86%E -5.63%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -10.90%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 15:20
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -9.34%E -5.31%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.90%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 15:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.84%EV -13.47%E -8.02%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.92%EV -10.90%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.24%EV -13.60%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-30 15:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.38%EV -11.41%E -6.63%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.38%EV -11.37%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-30 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 15:20
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.86%E -5.63%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.99%EV -10.38%E -5.96%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.99%EV -10.38%E -5.96%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.99%EV -10.38%E -5.96%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.99%EV -10.38%E -5.96%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.72%EV -9.34%E -5.31%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.24%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -9.34%E -5.31%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -13.24%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-30 15:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.27%EV -8.31%E -4.67%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -14.42%E -3.95%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.59%E -4.33%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 15:20
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.28%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.59%E -4.33%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -9.86%E -5.63%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -20.28%E -5.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-30 15:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-08-30 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-08-30 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-08-30 15:25
Matchbook◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%1.8%2026-08-30 15:25
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.97%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-08-30 15:20
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%2.9%2026-08-30 15:25