L’École des cotes

GKS Katowice v Wisła Płock

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 10:17 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

GKS Katowice (Local)

Prévision 50.55%1.98cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -2.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.34%50.47%50.68%51.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.841.851.9358.14%54.30%54.05%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wisła Płock (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.26%4.30cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.267%
Kelly -0.349%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.14%23.30%23.14%24.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.873.804.2528.17%25.83%26.32%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.19%3.82cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -0.476%
Kelly -0.649%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.35%26.23%26.18%27.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.463.453.7532.26%28.90%28.99%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -2.44%E -1.27%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 10:14
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -2.44%E -1.27%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 10:15
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -2.44%E -1.27%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 10:14
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -2.44%E -1.27%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 10:14
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.34%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -9.64%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 10:15
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 48.34%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -9.64%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 10:15
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.34%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -9.64%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 10:15
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 48.34%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -9.64%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 10:15
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -3.46%E -1.81%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 10:04
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -4.47%E -2.36%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.64%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 10:15
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.31%EV -4.97%E -2.64%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -2.30%E -0.547%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%EV -1.79%E -0.476%K -0.649%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 10:15
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -4.97%E -2.64%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -2.30%E -0.547%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 10:14
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58%EV -4.97%E -2.64%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.36%EV -5.32%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 10:14
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -4.97%E -2.64%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.44%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -9.64%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 10:15
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -4.97%E -2.64%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.44%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -9.64%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 10:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -4.97%E -2.64%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -13.93%E -3.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 10:15
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -4.97%E -2.64%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -13.93%E -3.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 10:15
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.32%EV -5.48%E -2.93%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.02%EV -2.99%E -0.718%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.66%EV -2.05%E -0.547%K -0.747%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 10:14
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.48%E -2.93%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 10:14
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.48%E -2.93%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.64%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 10:15
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.98%E -3.22%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -15.09%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 10:15
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.43%EV -6.49%E -3.51%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -4.62%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -1.79%E -0.476%K -0.649%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 10:15
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.49%E -3.51%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 10:14
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.49%E -3.51%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 10:14
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.49%E -3.51%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 10:14
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.49%E -3.51%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 10:14
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.87%EV -6.99%E -3.80%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.27%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -9.64%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 10:14
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.50%E -4.10%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 10:15
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.50%E -4.10%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 10:14
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -7.50%E -4.10%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -16.25%E -4.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 10:15
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -8.01%E -4.40%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -1.13%E -0.267%K -0.349%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 10:15
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -8.01%E -4.40%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -10.44%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 10:14
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -8.01%E -4.40%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 10:14
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.45%EV -8.01%E -4.40%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -17.42%E -4.91%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 10:15
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -9.02%E -5.01%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.30%E -0.547%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 10:15
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -9.02%E -5.01%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -4.62%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 10:14
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.02%E -5.01%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 10:15
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -9.02%E -5.01%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.27%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 10:14
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.02%E -5.01%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 10:14
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.02%E -5.01%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 10:14
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -9.02%E -5.01%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 10:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -9.02%E -5.01%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 10:14
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -9.02%E -5.01%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -13.93%E -3.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 10:15
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.78%EV -9.52%E -5.32%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -3.46%E -0.834%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -6.24%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 10:14
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -10.03%E -5.63%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -4.62%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 10:14
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.47%EV -10.53%E -5.95%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -15.09%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-04 10:14
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.84%EV -11.04%E -6.27%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 10:15
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -11.54%E -6.60%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -16.25%E -4.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-04 10:14
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.68%EV -12.55%E -7.26%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.87%EV -16.25%E -4.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%EV -14.88%E -4.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-04 10:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -12.55%E -7.26%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -16.25%E -4.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -18.81%E -6.07%K -8.96%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-04 10:15
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -13.06%E -7.59%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 10:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-04-04 10:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-04-04 10:15
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-04-04 10:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-04-04 10:15
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.27%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-04-04 10:15
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 51.50%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.75%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.75%2.2%2026-04-04 10:15