La escuela de los momiosEspañol
GKS Katowice v Wisła Płock
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
GKS Katowice (Local)
Predicción 50.55%1.98momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -2.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.34%50.47%50.68%51.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.841.851.9358.14%54.30%54.05%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Wisła Płock (Visitante)
Predicción 23.26%4.30momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.267%
Kelly -0.349%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.14%23.30%23.14%24.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.873.804.2528.17%25.83%26.32%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.19%3.82momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -0.476%
Kelly -0.649%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.35%26.23%26.18%27.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.463.453.7532.26%28.90%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -2.44%E -1.27%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -2.44%E -1.27%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -2.44%E -1.27%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -2.44%E -1.27%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.34%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -9.64%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.34%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -9.64%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.34%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -9.64%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.34%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -9.64%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -3.46%E -1.81%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 10:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -4.47%E -2.36%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.64%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.31%EV -4.97%E -2.64%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -2.30%E -0.547%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%EV -1.79%E -0.476%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -4.97%E -2.64%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -2.30%E -0.547%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58%EV -4.97%E -2.64%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.36%EV -5.32%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -4.97%E -2.64%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.44%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -9.64%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -4.97%E -2.64%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.44%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -9.64%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -4.97%E -2.64%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -13.93%E -3.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -4.97%E -2.64%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -13.93%E -3.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.32%EV -5.48%E -2.93%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.02%EV -2.99%E -0.718%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.66%EV -2.05%E -0.547%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.48%E -2.93%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.48%E -2.93%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.64%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.98%E -3.22%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -15.09%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.43%EV -6.49%E -3.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -4.62%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -1.79%E -0.476%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.49%E -3.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.49%E -3.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.49%E -3.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.49%E -3.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| Bet Right | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.87%EV -6.99%E -3.80%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.27%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -9.64%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.50%E -4.10%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.50%E -4.10%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -7.50%E -4.10%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -16.25%E -4.51%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -8.01%E -4.40%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -1.13%E -0.267%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -8.01%E -4.40%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -10.44%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -8.01%E -4.40%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.45%EV -8.01%E -4.40%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -17.42%E -4.91%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -9.02%E -5.01%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.30%E -0.547%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -9.02%E -5.01%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -4.62%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.02%E -5.01%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -9.02%E -5.01%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.27%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.02%E -5.01%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.02%E -5.01%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -9.02%E -5.01%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -9.02%E -5.01%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -9.02%E -5.01%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -13.93%E -3.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.78%EV -9.52%E -5.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -3.46%E -0.834%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -6.24%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| BetUS | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -10.03%E -5.63%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -4.62%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.47%EV -10.53%E -5.95%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -15.09%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.84%EV -11.04%E -6.27%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -11.54%E -6.60%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -16.25%E -4.51%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.68%EV -12.55%E -7.26%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.87%EV -16.25%E -4.51%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%EV -14.88%E -4.58%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -12.55%E -7.26%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -16.25%E -4.51%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -18.81%E -6.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -13.06%E -7.59%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-04 10:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.27% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.50% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.75% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.75% | 2.2% | 2026-04-04 10:15 |