The School of Odds
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GKS Katowice v Widzew Łódź

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 19:15 UTC

Final: GKS Katowice 3–2 Widzew Łódź

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

GKS Katowice (Local)

Prediction 45.77%2.18fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -3.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.57%46.00%45.84%48.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.961.982.1154.95%50.95%50.51%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Widzew Łódź (Visit)

Prediction 28.76%3.48fair odd
EV +0.650%
Edge +0.186%
Kelly +0.260%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.68%28.59%28.65%29.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.243.203.5034.48%30.82%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.47%3.93fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.503%
Kelly -0.680%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.24%25.41%25.51%26.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.613.603.8529.85%27.72%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: GKS Katowice (Local): 45.77%; Widzew Łódź (Visit): 28.76%; Draw: 25.47%. For Widzew Łódź (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.650%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -12.12%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV +0.650%E +0.186%K +0.260%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -1.94%E -0.503%K -0.680%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 18:50
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -12.12%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV +0.650%E +0.186%K +0.260%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -1.94%E -0.503%K -0.680%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -12.12%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV +0.650%E +0.186%K +0.260%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -1.94%E -0.503%K -0.680%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 18:50
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -12.12%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV +0.650%E +0.186%K +0.260%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -1.94%E -0.503%K -0.680%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -12.12%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV +0.650%E +0.186%K +0.260%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -1.94%E -0.503%K -0.680%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -12.12%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV +0.650%E +0.186%K +0.260%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -1.94%E -0.503%K -0.680%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 18:50
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -12.12%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV +0.650%E +0.186%K +0.260%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -1.94%E -0.503%K -0.680%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -12.12%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV +0.650%E +0.186%K +0.260%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -1.94%E -0.503%K -0.680%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 18:50
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.70%EV -9.37%E -4.73%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -2.23%E -0.655%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -1.94%E -0.503%K -0.680%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 13:10
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.76%EV -3.42%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.56%EV -2.80%E -0.829%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.68%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-31 19:10
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.73%EV -15.32%E -8.28%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -3.66%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-31 18:50
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.84%EV -16.24%E -8.87%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -3.66%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -7.03%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 18:50
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -5.10%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 18:55
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -5.10%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 18:55
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.10%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.26%EV -14.41%E -7.70%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -5.10%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.61%EV -16.69%E -9.17%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -5.10%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.61%EV -16.69%E -9.17%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -5.10%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.61%EV -16.69%E -9.17%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -5.10%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.61%EV -16.69%E -9.17%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -5.10%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.54%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.03%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 19:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.54%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.03%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 19:10
Bovada🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.94%EV -8.00%E -3.98%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -6.54%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 19:09
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.67%EV -7.11%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -9.37%E -4.73%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.60%EV -7.40%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 19:00
BetUS🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.33%EV -7.08%E -3.49%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.58%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 19:00
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.16%EV -7.08%E -3.49%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 19:00
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.40%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.40%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.40%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 18:55
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 12:55
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.40%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 19:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.40%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -13.03%E -6.86%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-31 13:10
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.88%EV -12.12%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 16:20
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.14%EV -13.03%E -6.86%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-31 13:10
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.40%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.40%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 12:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -6.62%E -3.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -9.58%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 19:10
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 19:00
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -6.17%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 19:00
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.54%E -3.73%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.41%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.40%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 19:10
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -10.28%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 19:10
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -10.28%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 19:09
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 19:00
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.85%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-31 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -12.29%E -4.03%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -7.03%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 19:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.04%EV -12.58%E -6.58%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -12.29%E -4.03%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-31 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.26%EV -11.20%E -5.77%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.07%EV -13.15%E -4.36%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.67%EV -12.89%E -3.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-31 19:06
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.67%EV -14.41%E -7.70%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -13.73%E -4.58%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-31 13:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 46.51%EV -16.69%E -9.17%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.22%EV -13.73%E -4.58%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.27%EV -14.67%E -4.38%K -6.24%G +0.000%18.1%2026-10-31 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.82%EV -11.20%E -5.77%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.98%EV -16.60%E -5.73%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.20%EV -12.13%E -3.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-31 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.8%2026-10-31 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.8%2026-10-31 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.8%2026-10-31 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-10-31 19:10
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%1.3%2026-10-31 19:10
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-10-31 19:00