Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

GKS Katowice v Pogoń Szczecin

2026-10-17 15:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

GKS Katowice (Local)

Prediction 43.23%2.31fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -2.23%
Kelly -4.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.45%43.27%43.21%44.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.092.122.2051.81%47.79%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pogoń Szczecin (Visit)

Prediction 31.20%3.21fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.29%31.17%31.10%32.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.962.953.1037.04%33.80%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.57%3.91fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.402%
Kelly -0.542%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.66%25.56%25.69%26.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.583.603.8530.30%27.92%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: GKS Katowice (Local): 43.23%; Pogoń Szczecin (Visit): 31.20%; Draw: 25.57%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.85, with an expected value of -1.55%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.39%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -1.55%E -0.402%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 16:00
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -7.06%E -3.29%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -7.96%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -2.82%E -0.743%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 15:59
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.08%EV -7.06%E -3.29%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.19%EV -7.33%E -2.47%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 17:10
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.06%E -3.29%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.14%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.06%E -3.29%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 15:55
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -8.36%E -3.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 15:55
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -8.36%E -3.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -8.36%E -3.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -8.36%E -3.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 15:55
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -8.36%E -3.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -8.36%E -3.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -8.36%E -3.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 15:55
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -8.36%E -3.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 15:55
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -8.36%E -3.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 16:00
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%EV -8.36%E -3.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.96%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -11.78%E -3.41%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 15:55
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%EV -8.36%E -3.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.96%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -11.78%E -3.41%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 15:55
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -12.64%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-10 16:00
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -10.95%E -5.32%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.22%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-10 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.22%EV -11.39%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.87%EV -10.45%E -3.64%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.91%EV -12.54%E -3.67%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-10 16:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.99%EV -11.39%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.64%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -11.78%E -3.41%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-10 15:55
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.97%EV -11.82%E -5.79%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -7.96%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-10 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.82%EV -12.68%E -6.28%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.52%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -11.78%E -3.41%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-10 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.82%EV -12.68%E -6.28%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.52%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -11.78%E -3.41%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-10 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.82%EV -12.68%E -6.28%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.52%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -11.78%E -3.41%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-10 17:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%EV -13.55%E -6.77%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -15.76%E -5.84%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%EV -13.05%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-10 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 43.97%EV -16.57%E -8.59%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.31%EV -12.64%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.72%EV -15.61%E -4.73%K -6.79%G +0.000%17.8%2026-10-10 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.