Language:English
Cracovia Kraków v Zagłębie Lubin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cracovia Kraków (Local)
Prediction 48.77%2.05fair odd
EV -5.88%
Edge -3.05%
Kelly -6.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.63%48.85%48.88%50.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.881.871.9356.82%53.30%53.48%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zagłębie Lubin (Visit)
Prediction 23.92%4.18fair odd
EV -0.033%
Edge -0.008%
Kelly -0.010%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.63%23.91%23.77%25.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.823.774.1828.99%26.16%26.49%23.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.32%3.66fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.459%
Kelly -0.636%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.82%27.24%27.35%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.353.383.6031.75%29.84%29.63%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cracovia Kraków (Local): 48.77%; Zagłębie Lubin (Visit): 23.92%; Draw: 27.32%. For Zagłębie Lubin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.181. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.180, with an expected value of -0.033%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.34%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.34%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.34%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.34%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.34%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.34%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 12:56 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.34%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.34%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 12:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -6.37%E -3.32%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.34%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -1.65%E -0.459%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 11:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -6.37%E -3.32%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -6.37%E -3.32%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 12:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.86%E -3.59%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.34%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 12:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.86%E -3.59%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-04 11:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.86%E -3.59%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-04 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.86%E -3.59%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -9.85%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-04 11:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.79%EV -7.34%E -3.87%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.63%EV -0.033%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.58%EV -6.30%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 08:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.34%E -3.87%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.30%EV -7.83%E -4.14%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -4.34%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -7.83%E -4.14%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -12.71%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-05 12:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.83%EV -8.32%E -4.43%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -15.10%E -4.25%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-05 13:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -8.81%E -4.71%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-04 11:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -8.81%E -4.71%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.34%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 21:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -8.81%E -4.71%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.12%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-04 11:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.81%E -4.71%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-05 10:11 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.81%E -4.71%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-05 10:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.81%E -4.71%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.12%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.64%EV -9.30%E -5.00%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -3.14%E -0.776%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-02 02:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.78%E -5.29%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.92%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 25.98%EV -2.75%E -0.771%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-01 08:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.78%E -5.29%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.12%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-04 11:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -9.78%E -5.29%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -9.78%E -5.29%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -9.78%E -5.29%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 12:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.02%EV -10.27%E -5.58%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -13.90%E -3.86%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.44%EV -12.03%E -3.74%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-04 12:31 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.63%EV -10.27%E -5.58%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -17.49%E -5.07%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-05 13:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -10.76%E -5.88%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 23.94%EV -8.16%E -2.13%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 25.82%EV -2.75%E -0.771%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-01 08:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -10.76%E -5.88%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-01 08:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.39%EV -10.76%E -5.88%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -11.51%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.67%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.39%EV -10.76%E -5.88%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -11.51%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.67%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.39%EV -10.76%E -5.88%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -11.51%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.67%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -12.22%E -6.79%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -4.34%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-04 12:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.17%EV -12.22%E -6.79%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-02 06:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -12.22%E -6.79%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -16.30%E -4.66%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 48.51%EV -14.17%E -8.05%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.39%EV -16.30%E -4.66%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.10%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-10-04 13:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.94% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.90% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.16% | 16.4% | 2026-10-04 12:30 |