L’École des cotes

Cracovia Kraków v Wisła Płock

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 19:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cracovia Kraków (Local)

Prévision 49.19%2.03cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -0.807%
Kelly -1.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.13%49.20%49.03%50.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.881.882.0059.52%53.07%53.19%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wisła Płock (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.36%4.47cote équitable
EV +4.19%
Avantage +0.900%
Kelly +1.15%
Croissance +0.048%

avec la cote maximale 4.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.63%22.31%22.55%25.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.554.004.004.6628.17%25.00%25.00%21.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.45%3.52cote équitable
EV -3.28%
Avantage -0.964%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.57%28.49%28.42%29.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.223.253.4035.09%31.06%30.77%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.33%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.63%EV +4.19%E +0.900%K +1.15%G +0.048%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.04%EV -5.84%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 19:00
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.52%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV +1.73%E +0.381%K +0.488%G +0.008%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.61%EV -5.55%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:05
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.52%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV +1.73%E +0.381%K +0.488%G +0.008%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.61%EV -5.55%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:05
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.01%E -4.28%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV +0.616%E +0.137%K +0.176%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:10
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -8.99%E -4.86%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -1.62%E -0.368%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -8.40%E -2.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 19:10
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -9.98%E -5.45%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.62%E -0.368%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 18:40
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.55%E -2.89%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83%EV -2.74%E -0.629%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.70%EV -5.84%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:05
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -8.99%E -4.86%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -2.74%E -0.629%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.39%E -3.30%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 19:04
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -8.99%E -4.86%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -2.74%E -0.629%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.39%E -3.30%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 19:05
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.99%E -4.86%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -3.19%E -0.736%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 19:10
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -9.98%E -5.45%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -3.19%E -0.736%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 19:10
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -3.86%E -0.897%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -6.12%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 18:50
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -3.28%E -0.964%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 18:45
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -6.53%E -3.44%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.12%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 18:45
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -14.66%E -4.89%K -7.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-14 18:40
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 18:34
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 18:40
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -9.98%E -5.45%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 18:58
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.83%EV -8.99%E -4.86%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 19:10
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.96%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -9.45%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 18:45
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 48.96%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -9.45%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 18:45
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 18:49
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 18:45
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 18:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 18:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 18:35
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 49.76%EV -17.36%E -10.33%K -25.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.90%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.33%EV -18.92%E -6.64%K -10.23%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-14 19:10
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -6.53%E -3.44%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 18:45
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.01%EV -8.50%E -4.57%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.12%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 18:45
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.10%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.24%EV -10.96%E -3.50%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-14 18:49
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.36%EV -14.90%E -8.61%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.89%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 28.75%EV -15.51%E -5.22%K -7.87%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-14 19:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 48.96%EV -11.94%E -6.67%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.76%EV -13.92%E -3.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 18:50
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -15.04%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.99%E -4.86%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -15.04%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 18:35
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.99%E -4.86%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -15.04%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 18:35
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -1.61%E -0.807%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.28%E -0.964%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 18:30
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -1.61%E -0.807%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.28%E -0.964%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 18:30
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -1.61%E -0.807%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.28%E -0.964%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 18:25
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -1.61%E -0.807%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.28%E -0.964%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 18:30
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.75%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -10.39%E -3.30%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -18.07%E -6.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-14 19:10
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.58%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.70%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 18:30
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.58%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.70%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 18:30
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.58%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.70%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 18:30
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.58%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.70%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 18:30
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.58%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.70%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 18:30
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -18.39%E -5.04%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.12%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -5.06%E -2.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -19.51%E -5.42%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -6.12%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -5.06%E -2.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -19.51%E -5.42%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -6.12%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 18:30
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -19.51%E -5.42%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-14 18:30
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 47.23%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -20.63%E -5.81%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.00%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.00%0.0%2026-03-14 19:05
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.60%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-03-14 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.17%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%1.7%2026-03-14 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.17%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%1.7%2026-03-14 19:10
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.42%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.20%2.2%2026-03-14 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.42%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.20%2.2%2026-03-14 19:10