La escuela de los momiosCracovia Kraków v Wisła Płock
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cracovia Kraków (Local)
Predicción 49.19%2.03momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.807%
Kelly -1.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.13%49.20%49.03%50.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.881.882.0059.52%53.07%53.19%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Wisła Płock (Visitante)
Predicción 22.36%4.47momio equitativo
EV +4.19%
Ventaja +0.900%
Kelly +1.15%
Crecimiento +0.048%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.63%22.31%22.55%25.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.554.004.004.6628.17%25.00%25.00%21.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.45%3.52momio equitativo
EV -3.28%
Ventaja -0.964%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.57%28.49%28.42%29.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.223.253.4035.09%31.06%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.33%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.63%EV +4.19%E +0.900%K +1.15%G +0.048% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.04%EV -5.84%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.52%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV +1.73%E +0.381%K +0.488%G +0.008% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.61%EV -5.55%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 19:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.52%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV +1.73%E +0.381%K +0.488%G +0.008% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.61%EV -5.55%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 19:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.01%E -4.28%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV +0.616%E +0.137%K +0.176%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 19:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -8.99%E -4.86%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -1.62%E -0.368%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -8.40%E -2.61%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 19:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -9.98%E -5.45%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.62%E -0.368%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 18:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.55%E -2.89%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83%EV -2.74%E -0.629%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.70%EV -5.84%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 19:05 |
| Bovada | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -8.99%E -4.86%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -2.74%E -0.629%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.39%E -3.30%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 19:04 |
| BetUS | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -8.99%E -4.86%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -2.74%E -0.629%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.39%E -3.30%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 19:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.99%E -4.86%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -3.19%E -0.736%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 19:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -9.98%E -5.45%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -3.19%E -0.736%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 19:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -3.86%E -0.897%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -6.12%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 18:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -3.28%E -0.964%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -6.53%E -3.44%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.12%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 18:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -14.66%E -4.89%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-14 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 18:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 18:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -9.98%E -5.45%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 18:58 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.83%EV -8.99%E -4.86%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 19:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.96%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -9.45%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 18:45 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.96%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -9.45%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 18:45 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 18:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 18:45 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 18:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 18:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 49.76%EV -17.36%E -10.33%K -25.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.90%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.33%EV -18.92%E -6.64%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-14 19:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -6.53%E -3.44%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.01%EV -8.50%E -4.57%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.12%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 18:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.10%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.24%EV -10.96%E -3.50%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-14 18:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.36%EV -14.90%E -8.61%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.89%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 28.75%EV -15.51%E -5.22%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.96%EV -11.94%E -6.67%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.76%EV -13.92%E -3.61%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-14 18:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -15.04%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-14 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.99%E -4.86%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -15.04%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-14 18:35 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.99%E -4.86%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -15.04%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-14 18:35 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -1.61%E -0.807%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.28%E -0.964%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -1.61%E -0.807%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.28%E -0.964%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -1.61%E -0.807%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.28%E -0.964%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 18:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -1.61%E -0.807%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.28%E -0.964%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.75%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -10.39%E -3.30%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-14 18:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -18.07%E -6.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-14 19:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.58%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.70%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 18:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.58%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.70%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 18:30 |
| Casumo | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.58%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.70%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 18:30 |
| betPARX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.58%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.70%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.58%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.70%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 18:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -18.39%E -5.04%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.12%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -5.06%E -2.62%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -19.51%E -5.42%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -6.12%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -5.06%E -2.62%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -19.51%E -5.42%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -6.12%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -19.51%E -5.42%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-14 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.23%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -20.63%E -5.81%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-14 18:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.00% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.00% | 0.0% | 2026-03-14 19:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.60% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.17% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35% | 1.7% | 2026-03-14 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.17% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35% | 1.7% | 2026-03-14 19:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.42% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.20% | 2.2% | 2026-03-14 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.42% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.20% | 2.2% | 2026-03-14 19:10 |