L’École des cotes

Cracovia Kraków v Radomiak Radom

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-11 17:02 UTC

Score final : Cracovia Kraków 0–0 Radomiak Radom

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cracovia Kraków (Local)

Prévision 51.58%1.94cote équitable
EV -0.971%
Avantage -0.506%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.50%51.52%51.59%52.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.791.781.9259.88%55.89%56.18%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Radomiak Radom (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.73%4.60cote équitable
EV +2.15%
Avantage +0.457%
Kelly +0.580%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.99%21.76%21.80%24.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.144.004.7026.67%24.16%25.00%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.69%3.75cote équitable
EV +0.083%
Avantage +0.022%
Kelly +0.030%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.50%26.72%26.61%27.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.413.453.7532.26%29.31%28.99%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -8.19%E -4.60%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV +2.15%E +0.457%K +0.580%G +0.012%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -8.19%E -4.60%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV +2.15%E +0.457%K +0.580%G +0.012%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 16:59
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 51.64%EV -4.07%E -2.19%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.92%EV -0.244%E -0.053%K -0.068%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 16:59
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 52.65%EV -9.74%E -5.57%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -1.11%E -0.245%K -0.314%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 16:56
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 52.65%EV -9.74%E -5.57%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -1.11%E -0.245%K -0.314%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 16:59
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -8.19%E -4.60%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -2.20%E -0.489%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 16:58
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -8.71%E -4.92%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -2.20%E -0.489%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 16:59
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.89%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 17:00
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -9.74%E -5.57%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -5.89%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-11 17:00
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.26%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.55%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV +0.083%E +0.022%K +0.030%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 16:59
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.07%EV -4.07%E -2.19%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -6.55%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -5.52%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 16:59
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.55%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -9.74%E -5.57%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -6.55%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-11 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -7.63%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 16:58
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -7.63%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 16:59
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -7.63%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 16:59
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -7.68%E -4.29%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.72%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-11 16:59
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -9.74%E -5.57%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.72%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.92%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-11 17:00
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.74%E -5.57%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.72%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-11 16:59
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -8.71%E -4.92%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -8.72%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-11 16:59
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -9.74%E -5.57%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -8.72%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-11 16:59
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.89%E -2.66%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 16:59
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.47%EV -11.29%E -6.56%K -15.68%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.86%EV -11.98%E -2.96%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.67%EV -11.39%E -3.43%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-11 16:58
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -3.03%E -1.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 16:59
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -3.03%E -1.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -3.03%E -1.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 16:59
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 17:00
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 16:59
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-11 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -9.22%E -5.24%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-11 16:59
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.74%E -5.57%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-11 16:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -13.26%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-11 17:00
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -14.60%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-11 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.74%E -5.57%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-11 16:59
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.74%E -5.57%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.26%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-11 17:00
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.77%E -6.23%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-11 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.75%EV -12.32%E -7.25%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -10.59%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-11 16:59
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -13.87%E -8.30%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-11 16:59
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -14.15%E -3.58%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-11 16:59
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 51.08%EV -9.74%E -5.57%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -14.15%E -3.58%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-11 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -15.24%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-11 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -15.24%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-11 17:00
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.88%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -16.33%E -4.24%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.59%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-11 16:59
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -0.971%E -0.506%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -17.41%E -4.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 16:57
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 49.81%EV -8.19%E -4.60%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.33%EV -17.41%E -4.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-11 16:59
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.09%EV -9.22%E -5.24%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -17.41%E -4.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-11 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -10.77%E -6.23%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -18.50%E -4.93%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -17.26%E -5.57%K -8.22%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-11 16:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.09%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-05-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.09%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-05-11 16:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.09%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-05-11 16:59
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 52.80%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-05-11 17:00
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.62%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%2.7%2026-05-11 16:59