La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cracovia Kraków v Radomiak Radom
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cracovia Kraków (Local)
Predicción 51.58%1.94momio equitativo
EV -0.971%
Ventaja -0.506%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.50%51.52%51.59%52.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.791.781.9259.88%55.89%56.18%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Radomiak Radom (Visitante)
Predicción 21.73%4.60momio equitativo
EV +2.15%
Ventaja +0.457%
Kelly +0.580%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.99%21.76%21.80%24.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.144.004.7026.67%24.16%25.00%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.69%3.75momio equitativo
EV +0.083%
Ventaja +0.022%
Kelly +0.030%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.50%26.72%26.61%27.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.413.453.7532.26%29.31%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -8.19%E -4.60%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV +2.15%E +0.457%K +0.580%G +0.012% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -8.19%E -4.60%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV +2.15%E +0.457%K +0.580%G +0.012% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.64%EV -4.07%E -2.19%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.92%EV -0.244%E -0.053%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Bovada | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.65%EV -9.74%E -5.57%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -1.11%E -0.245%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-11 16:56 |
| BetUS | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.65%EV -9.74%E -5.57%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -1.11%E -0.245%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -8.19%E -4.60%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -2.20%E -0.489%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 16:58 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -8.71%E -4.92%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -2.20%E -0.489%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.89%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -9.74%E -5.57%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -5.89%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-11 17:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.26%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.55%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV +0.083%E +0.022%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.07%EV -4.07%E -2.19%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -6.55%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -5.52%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.55%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -9.74%E -5.57%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -6.55%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -7.63%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 16:58 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -7.63%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -7.63%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -7.68%E -4.29%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.72%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -9.74%E -5.57%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.72%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.92%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-11 17:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.74%E -5.57%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.72%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -8.71%E -4.92%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -8.72%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -9.74%E -5.57%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -8.72%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.89%E -2.66%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.47%EV -11.29%E -6.56%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.86%EV -11.98%E -2.96%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.67%EV -11.39%E -3.43%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-11 16:58 |
| Unibet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -3.03%E -1.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -3.03%E -1.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -3.03%E -1.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 17:00 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -9.22%E -5.24%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.74%E -5.57%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -13.26%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-11 17:00 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -14.60%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.74%E -5.57%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.74%E -5.57%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.26%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-11 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.77%E -6.23%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.75%EV -12.32%E -7.25%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -10.59%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -13.87%E -8.30%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -14.15%E -3.58%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.08%EV -9.74%E -5.57%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -14.15%E -3.58%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -15.24%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-11 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -15.24%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-11 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.88%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -16.33%E -4.24%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.59%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -0.971%E -0.506%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -17.41%E -4.58%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 16:57 |
| LeoVegas | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.81%EV -8.19%E -4.60%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.33%EV -17.41%E -4.58%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.09%EV -9.22%E -5.24%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -17.41%E -4.58%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -10.77%E -6.23%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -18.50%E -4.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -17.26%E -5.57%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.09% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-05-11 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.09% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.09% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Matchbook | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.80% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85% | 1.8% | 2026-05-11 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.62% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67% | 2.7% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |