Language:English
Cracovia Kraków v Pogoń Szczecin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cracovia Kraków (Local)
Prediction 42.99%2.33fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.870%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.68%42.96%42.90%44.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.2850.00%46.47%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pogoń Szczecin (Visit)
Prediction 29.47%3.39fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.475%
Kelly -0.677%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.00%29.48%29.63%31.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.023.003.3436.36%33.07%33.33%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.54%3.63fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.10%27.55%27.47%29.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.333.343.5034.72%30.04%29.90%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cracovia Kraków (Local): 42.99%; Pogoń Szczecin (Visit): 29.47%; Draw: 27.54%. For Pogoń Szczecin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.34, with an expected value of -1.59%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -1.98%E -0.870%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -13.08%E -4.43%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.97%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -1.98%E -0.870%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -13.08%E -4.43%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.97%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -1.98%E -0.870%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -13.08%E -4.43%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.97%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -1.98%E -0.870%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -13.08%E -4.43%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.97%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -8.66%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.59%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -14.55%E -5.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 14:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -14.55%E -5.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -14.55%E -5.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 14:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -14.55%E -5.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -14.55%E -5.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -15.14%E -5.26%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 14:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -4.13%E -1.85%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -16.02%E -5.62%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-21 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -4.13%E -1.85%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -16.02%E -5.62%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -8.66%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.97%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.66%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.66%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.00%EV -6.28%E -2.88%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -17.50%E -6.25%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.94%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.73%EV -17.50%E -6.25%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.48%E -3.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-21 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.66%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.59%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 18:18 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.24%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 06:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.24%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 06:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -10.13%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 00:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -10.13%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 00:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 19:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 19:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 20:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.66%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.48%E -3.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-22 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.26%EV -8.00%E -3.74%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.36%EV -1.59%E -0.475%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.38%EV -4.70%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 19:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.49%EV -8.00%E -3.74%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.24%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.87%EV -8.00%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-24 01:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.04%EV -8.00%E -3.74%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.94%EV -18.97%E -6.90%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -10.48%E -3.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-21 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.69%EV -8.86%E -4.18%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -4.53%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.73%EV -8.00%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 01:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -8.86%E -4.18%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-21 00:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -2.76%E -0.837%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 19:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-21 09:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.55%E -5.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.10%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -14.55%E -5.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.48%E -3.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-22 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -14.55%E -5.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.48%E -3.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-21 00:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -14.55%E -5.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.48%E -3.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-21 00:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -15.14%E -5.26%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -20.67%E -7.18%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-22 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.11%EV -10.15%E -4.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -4.24%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 19:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.11%EV -10.15%E -4.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -4.24%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -10.58%E -5.09%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.48%E -3.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 19:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.87%E -5.79%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -14.55%E -5.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-23 06:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.11%EV -11.87%E -5.79%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.95%EV -13.08%E -4.43%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.94%EV -9.65%E -2.94%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-23 18:23 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -11.87%E -5.79%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -14.55%E -5.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -10.48%E -3.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -14.02%E -7.01%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -8.66%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-22 19:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.02%EV -14.02%E -7.01%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.67%EV -14.55%E -5.02%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.31%EV -13.23%E -4.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-23 06:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -14.02%E -7.01%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -17.50%E -6.25%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -10.48%E -3.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-23 06:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 14:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 01:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.69% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.01% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.30% | 10.0% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |