The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Cracovia Kraków v Motor Lublin

Kickoff: 2026-10-30 17:00 UTC

Final: Cracovia Kraków 1–2 Motor Lublin

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cracovia Kraków (Local)

Prediction 41.39%2.42fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.43%41.50%41.30%44.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.212.222.3450.00%45.29%45.05%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Motor Lublin (Visit)

Prediction 31.34%3.19fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -0.921%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.21%31.25%31.43%32.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.922.903.1036.36%34.27%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.28%3.67fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -0.973%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.40%27.25%27.27%28.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.353.5432.26%29.80%29.85%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cracovia Kraków (Local): 41.39%; Motor Lublin (Visit): 31.34%; Draw: 27.28%. For Motor Lublin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -2.86%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.27%EV -3.15%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.45%EV -3.80%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.28%EV -3.44%E -0.973%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-30 16:55
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-30 16:35
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.74%EV -6.46%E -2.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.90%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.74%EV -6.46%E -2.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.90%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 16:50
BetUS🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.74%EV -6.46%E -2.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.90%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 16:49
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-30 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-30 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-30 16:45
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-30 16:45
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-30 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-30 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-30 16:45
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-30 16:45
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 16:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-30 16:40
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-30 16:55
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -5.90%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-30 16:50
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-30 16:45
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.63%E -2.58%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-30 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-30 16:49
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-30 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-30 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-30 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -7.71%E -3.46%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -5.90%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-30 16:45
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.23%EV -8.12%E -3.66%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-30 16:45
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.23%EV -8.12%E -3.66%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-30 16:44
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-30 16:15
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 16:49
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 16:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.69%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-30 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-30 16:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-30 16:45
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-30 16:45
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.37%EV -10.06%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-30 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.37%EV -10.06%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-30 16:55
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.72%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-30 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.72%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-30 16:50
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -15.45%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-30 16:50
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.53%EV -9.78%E -4.48%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -8.63%E -2.58%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-30 16:45
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.45%EV -10.60%E -4.91%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -10.69%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-30 16:45
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -11.02%E -5.12%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-30 16:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -11.02%E -5.12%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -12.72%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-30 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.45%EV -11.43%E -5.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-30 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.45%EV -11.43%E -5.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-30 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.45%EV -11.43%E -5.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-30 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.45%EV -11.43%E -5.34%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-30 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.39%EV -12.26%E -5.78%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.01%EV -11.32%E -4.00%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.60%EV -13.26%E -4.17%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-30 16:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.32%EV -13.09%E -6.23%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -13.82%E -5.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -12.72%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-30 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -15.16%E -7.39%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -2.86%E -0.921%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-30 16:20
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -15.16%E -7.39%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-30 16:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.98%EV -17.23%E -8.61%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.16%EV -10.69%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%EV -12.72%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-30 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%0.7%2026-10-30 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-10-30 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-10-30 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-10-30 16:55
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.16%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-10-30 16:45
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 40.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%3.6%2026-10-30 16:55

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