Sign in with Sole Account
Language:English
Cracovia Kraków v Legia Warszawa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cracovia Kraków (Local)
Prediction 33.53%2.98fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.95%33.56%33.47%34.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.742.702.8938.46%36.55%37.04%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Legia Warszawa (Visit)
Prediction 38.75%2.58fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.58%38.78%38.75%40.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.352.382.4946.51%42.50%42.02%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.72%3.61fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -0.851%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.47%27.66%27.78%28.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.303.303.5031.75%30.34%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cracovia Kraków (Local): 33.53%; Legia Warszawa (Visit): 38.75%; Draw: 27.72%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -2.98%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.32%EV -3.10%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.68%EV -3.51%E -1.41%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.00%EV -4.64%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -3.43%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -3.43%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -3.43%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -3.43%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -3.43%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -3.43%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -3.43%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 17:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -3.43%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.98%E -0.851%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 18:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -12.81%E -5.69%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.12%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.06%E -2.07%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -6.12%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.90%E -1.57%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -6.12%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -3.90%E -1.57%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 18:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.12%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -8.94%E -3.80%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.98%E -0.851%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-15 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.12%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-14 18:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.12%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-17 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.34%EV -7.46%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 17:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-14 00:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.78%E -3.27%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 06:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.78%E -3.27%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-13 15:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.78%E -3.27%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-13 15:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.78%E -3.27%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 18:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.78%E -3.27%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.84%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.93%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -11.29%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-17 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.96%EV -10.88%E -4.73%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -12.68%E -4.03%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-17 17:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.78%E -3.27%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-12 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.78%E -3.27%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-12 18:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -5.06%E -2.07%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -5.06%E -2.07%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -5.06%E -2.07%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 17:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.88%E -4.73%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -4.36%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-11 19:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.94%E -3.80%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.88%E -4.73%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.88%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -11.65%E -5.11%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -12.68%E -4.03%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-17 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.88%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -11.65%E -5.11%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -12.68%E -4.03%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-17 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.88%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -11.65%E -5.11%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -12.68%E -4.03%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-17 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.88%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -11.65%E -5.11%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -12.68%E -4.03%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-17 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-17 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -10.88%E -4.73%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-13 15:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -10.88%E -4.73%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -12.81%E -5.69%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -12.68%E -4.03%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-17 17:48 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.53%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.10%EV -16.69%E -7.76%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.37%EV -12.68%E -4.03%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-10-17 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -11.82%E -4.49%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -10.88%E -4.73%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-17 18:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.82%E -4.49%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -12.81%E -5.69%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-14 18:36 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -12.15%E -4.64%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-17 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -12.15%E -4.64%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.88%E -4.73%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.75%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 15:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -12.15%E -4.64%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -10.88%E -4.73%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-16 10:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -12.15%E -4.64%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -10.88%E -4.73%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-13 08:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -12.15%E -4.64%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -10.88%E -4.73%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-13 08:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.38%EV -12.15%E -4.64%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.86%EV -12.81%E -5.69%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.76%EV -12.68%E -4.03%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-17 17:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -12.82%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -12.81%E -5.69%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -8.52%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-17 09:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -12.82%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -12.81%E -5.69%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-14 18:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-10-17 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-10-17 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-10-17 18:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-10-17 18:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.33% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 1.1% | 2026-10-17 18:01 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-10-17 18:00 |