A Escola das Odds

Cracovia Kraków v Korona Kielce

Início: 2026-05-23 15:30 UTC

Final: Cracovia Kraków 1–1 Korona Kielce

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cracovia Kraków (Local)

Previsão 44.87%2.23odd justa
EV -3.53%
Vantagem -1.64%
Kelly -3.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.76%44.89%44.80%46.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.062.052.1552.36%48.55%48.78%46.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Korona Kielce (Visitante)

Previsão 23.76%4.21odd justa
EV +8.09%
Vantagem +1.78%
Kelly +2.28%
Crescimento +0.184%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.33%23.80%23.84%26.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.773.654.5530.77%26.52%27.40%21.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.38%3.19odd justa
EV +0.401%
Vantagem +0.125%
Kelly +0.182%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.46%31.32%31.36%33.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.652.922.953.2037.74%34.30%33.90%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.79%EV -9.36%E -4.64%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV +8.09%E +1.78%K +2.28%G +0.184%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.88%EV -14.35%E -5.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 15:20
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.52%E +1.03%K +1.33%G +0.060%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 14:59
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -0.228%E -0.054%K -0.071%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 15:19
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -2.60%E -0.635%K -0.840%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 15:08
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.79%EV -11.61%E -5.89%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -2.60%E -0.635%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 15:19
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 46.30%EV -10.71%E -5.38%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -2.60%E -0.635%K -0.840%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 15:20
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -9.36%E -4.64%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -3.79%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.29%EV -7.13%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 15:18
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 44.28%EV -3.53%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.56%EV -4.03%E -0.997%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.16%EV -7.13%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 15:20
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.18%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -4.31%E -1.41%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 15:19
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -8.47%E -4.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 15:20
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -8.47%E -4.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 15:19
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 15:19
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 45.79%EV -9.81%E -4.88%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 15:19
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 15:09
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.54%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.62%EV -8.38%E -2.87%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 15:09
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.54%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.62%EV -8.38%E -2.87%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 15:09
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 14:10
Codere (IT)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.16%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 15:09
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-23 15:19
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -13.72%E -4.99%K -7.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 15:19
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 44.58%EV -13.40%E -6.94%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.47%EV -16.86%E -6.36%K -10.22%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-23 15:20
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -12.11%E -3.27%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 15:08
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -12.11%E -3.27%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-23 15:08
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.23%EV -13.40%E -6.94%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.59%EV -12.11%E -3.27%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.18%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-23 15:20
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -3.98%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -13.29%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.38%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 14:49
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -3.98%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -13.29%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.38%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 14:49
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -3.98%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -13.29%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.38%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 14:50
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -3.98%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -13.29%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.38%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 14:49
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -3.98%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -13.29%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.38%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 14:49
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -3.98%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -13.29%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.38%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 14:50
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -3.98%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -13.29%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.38%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 14:49
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -3.98%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -13.29%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.38%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 14:49
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -3.98%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -13.29%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.38%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 14:50
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.08%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.76%EV -13.29%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 15:19
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -14.48%E -4.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 15:19
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.53%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -14.48%E -4.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 15:20
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -14.48%E -4.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 14:49
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -14.48%E -4.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-23 15:19
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.79%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -14.48%E -4.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -9.95%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.79%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -14.48%E -4.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -9.95%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 14:09
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -14.30%E -7.49%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -14.48%E -4.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-23 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.44%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -15.67%E -4.41%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 14:49
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.44%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -15.67%E -4.41%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 14:49
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -15.67%E -4.41%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-23 15:09
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -16.86%E -4.82%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV +0.401%E +0.125%K +0.182%G +0.001%9.8%2026-05-23 15:09
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.85%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -16.86%E -4.82%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 14:49
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 43.82%EV -9.36%E -4.64%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -18.04%E -5.23%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.52%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-23 14:50
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.97%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -18.04%E -5.23%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.54%EV -9.64%E -3.35%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-23 14:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -22.80%E -7.01%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-23 15:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.49%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.74%1.0%2026-05-23 15:20
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.76%1.6%2026-05-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.76%1.6%2026-05-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.62%2.1%2026-05-23 15:20
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 46.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%3.5%2026-05-23 15:20