L’École des cotes

Cracovia Kraków v Korona Kielce

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 15:30 UTC

Score final : Cracovia Kraków 1–1 Korona Kielce

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cracovia Kraków (Local)

Prévision 44.87%2.23cote équitable
EV -3.53%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -3.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.76%44.89%44.80%46.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.062.052.1552.36%48.55%48.78%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Korona Kielce (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.76%4.21cote équitable
EV +8.09%
Avantage +1.78%
Kelly +2.28%
Croissance +0.184%

avec la cote maximale 4.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.33%23.80%23.84%26.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.773.654.5530.77%26.52%27.40%21.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.38%3.19cote équitable
EV +0.401%
Avantage +0.125%
Kelly +0.182%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.46%31.32%31.36%33.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.922.953.2037.74%34.30%33.90%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.79%EV -9.36%E -4.64%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV +8.09%E +1.78%K +2.28%G +0.184%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.88%EV -14.35%E -5.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 15:20
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.52%E +1.03%K +1.33%G +0.060%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 14:59
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -0.228%E -0.054%K -0.071%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 15:19
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -2.60%E -0.635%K -0.840%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 15:08
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.79%EV -11.61%E -5.89%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -2.60%E -0.635%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 15:19
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 46.30%EV -10.71%E -5.38%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -2.60%E -0.635%K -0.840%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 15:20
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -9.36%E -4.64%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -3.79%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.29%EV -7.13%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 15:18
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 44.28%EV -3.53%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.56%EV -4.03%E -0.997%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.16%EV -7.13%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 15:20
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.18%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -4.31%E -1.41%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 15:19
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -8.47%E -4.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 15:20
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -8.47%E -4.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 15:19
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 15:19
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 45.79%EV -9.81%E -4.88%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 15:19
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 15:09
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.54%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.62%EV -8.38%E -2.87%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 15:09
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.54%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.62%EV -8.38%E -2.87%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 15:09
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 14:10
Codere (IT)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.16%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 15:09
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-23 15:19
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -13.72%E -4.99%K -7.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 15:19
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 44.58%EV -13.40%E -6.94%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.47%EV -16.86%E -6.36%K -10.22%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-23 15:20
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -12.11%E -3.27%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 15:08
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -12.11%E -3.27%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-23 15:08
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.23%EV -13.40%E -6.94%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.59%EV -12.11%E -3.27%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.18%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-23 15:20
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -3.98%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -13.29%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.38%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 14:49
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -3.98%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -13.29%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.38%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 14:49
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -3.98%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -13.29%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.38%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 14:50
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -3.98%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -13.29%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.38%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 14:49
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -3.98%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -13.29%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.38%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 14:49
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -3.98%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -13.29%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.38%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 14:50
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -3.98%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -13.29%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.38%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 14:49
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -3.98%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -13.29%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.38%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 14:49
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -3.98%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -13.29%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.38%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 14:50
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.08%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.76%EV -13.29%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 15:19
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -14.48%E -4.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 15:19
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.53%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -14.48%E -4.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 15:20
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -14.48%E -4.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 14:49
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -14.48%E -4.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-23 15:19
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.79%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -14.48%E -4.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -9.95%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.79%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -14.48%E -4.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -9.95%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 14:09
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -14.30%E -7.49%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -14.48%E -4.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-23 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.44%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -15.67%E -4.41%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 14:49
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -7.12%E -3.44%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -15.67%E -4.41%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 14:49
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -15.67%E -4.41%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-23 15:09
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -16.86%E -4.82%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV +0.401%E +0.125%K +0.182%G +0.001%9.8%2026-05-23 15:09
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.85%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -16.86%E -4.82%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -7.44%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 14:49
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 43.82%EV -9.36%E -4.64%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -18.04%E -5.23%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.52%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-23 14:50
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.97%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -18.04%E -5.23%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.54%EV -9.64%E -3.35%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-23 14:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -22.80%E -7.01%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -12.15%E -4.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-23 15:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.49%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.74%1.0%2026-05-23 15:20
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.76%1.6%2026-05-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.76%1.6%2026-05-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.62%2.1%2026-05-23 15:20
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 46.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%3.5%2026-05-23 15:20