La scuola delle quote

Cracovia Kraków v Arka Gdynia

Inizio: 2026-04-12 10:17 UTC

Finale: Cracovia Kraków 2–2 Arka Gdynia

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cracovia Kraków (Casa)

Previsione 50.68%1.97quota equa
EV -2.69%
Vantaggio -1.40%
Kelly -2.92%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.77%50.68%50.63%52.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.831.841.9258.82%54.73%54.35%52.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arka Gdynia (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.35%4.68quota equa
EV +4.42%
Vantaggio +0.904%
Kelly +1.14%
Crescita +0.050%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.53%21.30%21.40%23.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.854.204.154.8925.97%23.83%24.10%20.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.96%3.58quota equa
EV -2.13%
Vantaggio -0.610%
Kelly -0.854%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.16%28.02%27.97%29.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.263.303.5033.33%30.70%30.30%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.89%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.63%EV +4.42%E +0.904%K +1.14%G +0.050%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.48%EV -5.77%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 10:15
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV +2.50%E +0.520%K +0.657%G +0.016%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 10:14
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 51.57%EV -9.78%E -5.50%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.74%EV -0.706%E -0.152%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 10:14
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -7.75%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.77%E -0.386%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 10:14
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -10.29%E -5.81%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -1.77%E -0.386%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 10:14
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.52%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -2.84%E -0.624%K -0.800%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 10:14
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.22%E -2.79%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%EV -3.91%E -0.869%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.10%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 10:14
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -11.30%E -6.46%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -3.91%E -0.869%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 10:15
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -11.30%E -6.46%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -3.91%E -0.869%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 10:15
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.04%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 10:15
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94%EV -6.74%E -3.66%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -6.04%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.92%E -3.78%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 10:15
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94%EV -6.74%E -3.66%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -6.04%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.92%E -3.78%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 10:15
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -11.30%E -6.46%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -6.04%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 10:15
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.58%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -7.54%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 10:14
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.30%E -6.46%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -7.54%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -13.32%E -4.30%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 10:15
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.22%E -2.79%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -8.18%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 10:14
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -10.79%E -6.13%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -8.18%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 10:15
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.85%EV -7.75%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -9.25%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -11.92%E -3.78%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 10:14
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -10.31%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -2.13%E -0.610%K -0.854%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 10:13
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.31%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.93%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:15
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.31%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -13.32%E -4.30%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 10:14
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.31%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -13.32%E -4.30%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 10:14
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.31%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -13.32%E -4.30%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 10:14
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -11.30%E -6.46%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.31%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 10:15
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -11.38%E -2.74%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 10:13
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -11.38%E -2.74%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 10:14
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -2.69%E -1.40%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -12.45%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 10:14
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -2.69%E -1.40%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -12.45%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 10:14
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -2.69%E -1.40%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -12.45%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 10:15
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -2.69%E -1.40%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -12.45%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 10:15
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.84%EV -6.74%E -3.66%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.45%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 10:15
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.10%EV -12.82%E -7.45%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -12.45%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 10:15
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 48.89%EV -4.21%E -2.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 10:15
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 48.89%EV -4.21%E -2.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 10:11
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 48.89%EV -4.21%E -2.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 10:15
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 48.89%EV -4.21%E -2.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 10:15
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 48.89%EV -4.21%E -2.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 10:15
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 10:14
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -4.71%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 10:14
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.25%EV -10.79%E -6.13%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-12 10:14
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.25%EV -10.79%E -6.13%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-12 10:14
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 50.67%EV -13.84%E -8.14%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.54%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -13.32%E -4.30%K -6.34%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-12 10:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -12.32%E -7.12%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -16.12%E -5.37%K -8.06%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-12 10:15
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.94%EV -5.73%E -3.08%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -15.65%E -3.96%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -15.65%E -3.96%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 10:14
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -7.75%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -16.72%E -4.29%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-12 10:14
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -6.74%E -3.66%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -16.72%E -4.29%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 10:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -16.72%E -4.29%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 10:15
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -16.72%E -4.29%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 10:15
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 48.77%EV -7.75%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.05%EV -17.79%E -4.62%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -11.92%E -3.78%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 10:15
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.04%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -17.79%E -4.62%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -11.92%E -3.78%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-12 10:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.99%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%1.2%2026-04-12 10:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.99%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%1.2%2026-04-12 10:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.99%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%1.2%2026-04-12 10:15
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.26%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%1.8%2026-04-12 10:15
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.67%2.6%2026-04-12 10:15
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 51.43%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.99%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.57%5.1%2026-04-12 10:15