La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cracovia Kraków v Arka Gdynia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cracovia Kraków (Local)
Predicción 50.68%1.97momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -2.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.77%50.68%50.63%52.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.831.841.9258.82%54.73%54.35%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Arka Gdynia (Visitante)
Predicción 21.35%4.68momio equitativo
EV +4.42%
Ventaja +0.904%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.050%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.53%21.30%21.40%23.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.204.154.8925.97%23.83%24.10%20.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.96%3.58momio equitativo
EV -2.13%
Ventaja -0.610%
Kelly -0.854%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.16%28.02%27.97%29.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.263.303.5033.33%30.70%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.89%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.63%EV +4.42%E +0.904%K +1.14%G +0.050% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.48%EV -5.77%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV +2.50%E +0.520%K +0.657%G +0.016% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| BetUS | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.57%EV -9.78%E -5.50%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.74%EV -0.706%E -0.152%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -7.75%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.77%E -0.386%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -10.29%E -5.81%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -1.77%E -0.386%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.52%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -2.84%E -0.624%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.22%E -2.79%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%EV -3.91%E -0.869%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.10%EV -5.49%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -11.30%E -6.46%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -3.91%E -0.869%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -11.30%E -6.46%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -3.91%E -0.869%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.04%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94%EV -6.74%E -3.66%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -6.04%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.92%E -3.78%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94%EV -6.74%E -3.66%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -6.04%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.92%E -3.78%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -11.30%E -6.46%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -6.04%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.58%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -7.54%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.30%E -6.46%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -7.54%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -13.32%E -4.30%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.22%E -2.79%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -8.18%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -10.79%E -6.13%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -8.18%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.85%EV -7.75%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -9.25%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -11.92%E -3.78%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -10.31%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -2.13%E -0.610%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 10:13 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.31%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.93%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.31%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -13.32%E -4.30%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.31%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -13.32%E -4.30%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.31%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -13.32%E -4.30%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -11.30%E -6.46%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.31%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -11.38%E -2.74%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 10:13 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -11.38%E -2.74%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -2.69%E -1.40%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -12.45%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -2.69%E -1.40%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -12.45%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -2.69%E -1.40%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -12.45%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -2.69%E -1.40%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -12.45%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.84%EV -6.74%E -3.66%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.45%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.10%EV -12.82%E -7.45%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -12.45%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| Casumo | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.89%EV -4.21%E -2.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.89%EV -4.21%E -2.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 10:11 |
| Grosvenor | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.89%EV -4.21%E -2.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| betPARX | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.89%EV -4.21%E -2.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.89%EV -4.21%E -2.23%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -4.71%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.25%EV -10.79%E -6.13%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.25%EV -10.79%E -6.13%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.67%EV -13.84%E -8.14%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.54%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -13.32%E -4.30%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -12.32%E -7.12%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -14.59%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -16.12%E -5.37%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.94%EV -5.73%E -3.08%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -15.65%E -3.96%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -15.65%E -3.96%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -7.75%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -16.72%E -4.29%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-12 10:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -6.74%E -3.66%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -16.72%E -4.29%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -16.72%E -4.29%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -16.72%E -4.29%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.77%EV -7.75%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.05%EV -17.79%E -4.62%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -11.92%E -3.78%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.04%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -17.79%E -4.62%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -11.92%E -3.78%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.99% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.99% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.99% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.26% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.26% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48% | 1.8% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.49% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.67% | 2.6% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.43% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.99% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.57% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 10:15 |