L’École des cotes

Viking FK v SK Brann

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 16:00 UTC

Score final : Viking FK 3–2 SK Brann

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Viking FK (Local)

Prévision 54.55%1.83cote équitable
EV -3.99%
Avantage -2.27%
Kelly -5.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.10%54.45%54.70%55.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.701.701.7662.50%58.97%58.82%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SK Brann (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.10%4.33cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -0.430%
Kelly -0.563%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.41%23.17%23.04%24.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.963.954.2527.78%25.28%25.32%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.35%4.47cote équitable
EV +1.69%
Avantage +0.371%
Kelly +0.476%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 4.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.34%22.38%22.26%23.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.054.004.5526.32%24.69%25.00%21.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.81%EV -5.08%E -2.92%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.85%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.34%EV +1.69%E +0.371%K +0.476%G +0.008%3.0%2026-04-18 15:10
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.89%EV -3.99%E -2.27%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%EV -2.98%E -0.711%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.11%EV -2.33%E -0.534%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 15:40
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -5.08%E -2.92%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -3.90%E -0.906%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 15:30
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -7.81%E -4.62%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -3.90%E -0.906%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 15:20
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.08%E -2.92%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.81%EV -3.22%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.27%EV -4.12%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 15:40
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.82%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 15:10
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.82%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 15:10
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.90%E -5.33%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.41%EV -4.14%E -0.997%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 09:54
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.90%E -5.33%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.41%EV -4.14%E -0.997%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 09:54
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 15:30
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.90%E -5.33%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 15:45
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 55.29%EV -8.35%E -4.97%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.49%EV -4.60%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.22%EV -6.58%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 15:15
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.72%E -3.93%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 15:10
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.81%E -4.62%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 15:10
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 15:29
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 15:30
BetAnything1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 15:30
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -9.44%E -5.69%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.00%EV -8.35%E -4.97%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 15:30
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.53%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 15:20
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 15:15
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 15:40
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:30
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:30
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:30
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:30
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:30
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:30
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:30
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:30
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 15:19
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -11.07%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 15:30
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -8.90%E -5.33%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 15:39
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -8.90%E -5.33%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 15:20
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -11.63%E -7.18%K -18.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -16.84%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-18 15:30
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 53.60%EV -6.72%E -3.93%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -11.72%E -2.97%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 15:20
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.58%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -11.72%E -2.97%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.58%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -11.72%E -2.97%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 15:30
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.45%EV -10.54%E -6.42%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -16.84%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19%EV -11.72%E -2.97%K -3.97%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-18 15:30
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.70%EV -12.72%E -7.95%K -21.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.03%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.27%EV -12.17%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-18 15:36
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.84%E -3.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 15:20
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 53.56%EV -8.35%E -4.97%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -11.07%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -12.84%E -3.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 15:30
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -8.90%E -5.33%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -12.84%E -3.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -8.90%E -5.33%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -12.84%E -3.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -8.90%E -5.33%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -12.84%E -3.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 15:10
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -8.90%E -5.33%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -12.84%E -3.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 15:10
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.37%EV -8.90%E -5.33%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -12.84%E -3.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 15:20
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 15:39
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.82%EV -11.08%E -6.80%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.39%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-18 15:40
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.67%EV -10.54%E -6.42%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -15.07%E -3.97%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 15:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%0.6%2026-04-18 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%0.6%2026-04-18 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%0.6%2026-04-18 15:40
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%0.6%2026-04-18 15:40
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%1.9%2026-04-18 15:20