La escuela de los momios

Viking FK v SK Brann

Inicio: 2026-04-18 16:00 UTC

Final: Viking FK 3–2 SK Brann

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Viking FK (Local)

Predicción 54.55%1.83momio equitativo
EV -3.99%
Ventaja -2.27%
Kelly -5.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.10%54.45%54.70%55.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.701.701.7662.50%58.97%58.82%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SK Brann (Visitante)

Predicción 23.10%4.33momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -0.430%
Kelly -0.563%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.41%23.17%23.04%24.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.963.954.2527.78%25.28%25.32%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.35%4.47momio equitativo
EV +1.69%
Ventaja +0.371%
Kelly +0.476%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.34%22.38%22.26%23.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.054.004.5526.32%24.69%25.00%21.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.81%EV -5.08%E -2.92%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.85%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.34%EV +1.69%E +0.371%K +0.476%G +0.008%3.0%2026-04-18 15:10
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.89%EV -3.99%E -2.27%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%EV -2.98%E -0.711%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.11%EV -2.33%E -0.534%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 15:40
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -5.08%E -2.92%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -3.90%E -0.906%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 15:30
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -7.81%E -4.62%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -3.90%E -0.906%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 15:20
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.08%E -2.92%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.81%EV -3.22%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.27%EV -4.12%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 15:40
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.82%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 15:10
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.82%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 15:10
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.90%E -5.33%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.41%EV -4.14%E -0.997%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 09:54
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.90%E -5.33%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.41%EV -4.14%E -0.997%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 09:54
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 15:30
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.90%E -5.33%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 15:45
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 55.29%EV -8.35%E -4.97%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.49%EV -4.60%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.22%EV -6.58%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 15:15
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.72%E -3.93%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 15:10
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.81%E -4.62%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 15:10
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 15:29
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 15:30
BetAnything1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 15:30
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -9.44%E -5.69%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.00%EV -8.35%E -4.97%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 15:30
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.53%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 15:20
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 15:15
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 15:40
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:30
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:30
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:30
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:30
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:30
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:30
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:30
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:30
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 15:19
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -11.07%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 15:30
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -8.90%E -5.33%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 15:39
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -8.90%E -5.33%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 15:20
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -11.63%E -7.18%K -18.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -16.84%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-18 15:30
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 53.60%EV -6.72%E -3.93%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -11.72%E -2.97%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 15:20
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.58%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -11.72%E -2.97%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.58%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -11.72%E -2.97%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 15:30
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.45%EV -10.54%E -6.42%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -16.84%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19%EV -11.72%E -2.97%K -3.97%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-18 15:30
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.70%EV -12.72%E -7.95%K -21.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.03%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.27%EV -12.17%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-18 15:36
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.84%E -3.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 15:20
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 53.56%EV -8.35%E -4.97%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -11.07%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -12.84%E -3.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 15:30
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -8.90%E -5.33%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -12.84%E -3.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -8.90%E -5.33%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -12.84%E -3.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -8.90%E -5.33%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -12.84%E -3.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 15:10
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -8.90%E -5.33%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -12.84%E -3.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 15:10
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.37%EV -8.90%E -5.33%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -12.84%E -3.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 15:20
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 15:39
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.82%EV -11.08%E -6.80%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.39%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -13.95%E -3.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-18 15:40
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.67%EV -10.54%E -6.42%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -15.07%E -3.97%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 15:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%0.6%2026-04-18 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%0.6%2026-04-18 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%0.6%2026-04-18 15:40
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%0.6%2026-04-18 15:40
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%1.9%2026-04-18 15:20