Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Viking FK v Rosenborg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 16:00 UTC

Score final : Viking FK 3–0 Rosenborg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Viking FK (Local)

Prévision 67.17%1.49cote équitable
EV -4.62%
Avantage -3.25%
Kelly -11.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.33%67.23%67.12%69.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.301.371.381.4276.92%72.89%72.46%70.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Rosenborg (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.98%7.15cote équitable
EV +3.44%
Avantage +0.465%
Kelly +0.537%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 7.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.11%13.96%14.07%15.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.756.466.507.4017.39%15.49%15.38%13.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 18.85%5.30cote équitable
EV -0.084%
Avantage -0.016%
Kelly -0.019%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.14%18.81%18.81%20.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.804.755.3023.81%20.85%21.05%18.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Viking FK (Local) : 67.17% ; Rosenborg (Visiteur) : 13.98% ; Match nul : 18.85%. Pour Rosenborg (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.15. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.40, soit une espérance positive de +3.44%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.38%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.12%EV +3.44%E +0.465%K +0.537%G +0.018%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.50%EV -1.03%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-01 15:29
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.35%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 13.11%EV +2.74%E +0.373%K +0.431%G +0.012%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.53%EV -1.97%E -0.379%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 15:55
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.43%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV +0.643%E +0.089%K +0.104%G +0.001%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -8.57%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 15:19
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.43%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV +0.643%E +0.089%K +0.104%G +0.001%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -8.57%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 15:19
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.15%E -0.308%K -0.359%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 15:35
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -10.66%E -8.02%K -32.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -2.15%E -0.308%K -0.359%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -1.97%E -0.379%K -0.469%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 15:23
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.56%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.61%EV -4.25%E -0.620%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -6.68%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 15:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.71%EV -7.98%E -5.82%K -21.56%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -5.65%E -0.837%K -0.982%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 15:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -9.32%E -6.90%K -26.63%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.69%EV -6.35%E -0.947%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.60%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.23%EV -7.74%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.60%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.23%EV -7.74%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 15:20
BetAnything🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.60%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.23%EV -7.74%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 15:19
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.45%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.54%EV -8.58%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.01%EV -0.461%E -0.087%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 15:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 15:50
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 15:35
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:44
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:45
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:45
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:45
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:44
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:44
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:44
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 15:34
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 15:24
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -10.66%E -8.02%K -32.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-01 15:25
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 15:19
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 15:19
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.66%E -8.02%K -32.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-01 15:25
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.03%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.12%EV -9.42%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 18.63%EV -7.44%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 15:55
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.86%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.31%EV -9.84%E -1.53%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.83%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 15:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.69%EV -7.98%E -5.82%K -21.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -10.54%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.14%EV -7.98%E -5.82%K -21.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.16%EV -10.54%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 07:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.14%EV -7.98%E -5.82%K -21.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.16%EV -10.54%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 07:44
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.56%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -12.64%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 15:48
Winamax (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.32%EV -10.66%E -8.02%K -32.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -12.64%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -0.084%E -0.016%K -0.019%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 10:14
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -12.64%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -15.17%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 15:54
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -12.64%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 07:44
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -10.66%E -8.02%K -32.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -12.64%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-01 15:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 67.19%EV -12.01%E -9.17%K -38.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.08%EV -12.64%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -11.39%E -2.42%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-01 15:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.07%EV -10.66%E -8.02%K -32.32%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.41%EV -14.73%E -2.42%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -15.17%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 07:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 66.52%EV -11.34%E -8.59%K -35.43%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.39%EV -14.73%E -2.42%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-01 15:35
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -16.13%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-01 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.48%EV -12.68%E -9.75%K -42.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -16.13%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.90%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-01 10:15
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -10.66%E -8.02%K -32.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.61%EV -16.13%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -15.17%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-01 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 65.52%EV -12.68%E -9.75%K -42.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.20%EV -16.13%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.28%EV -20.82%E -4.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-01 15:40
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -19.63%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.17%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 15:35
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -19.63%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.17%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -19.63%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.17%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -19.63%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.17%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 15:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.65%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%1.1%2026-05-01 15:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.65%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%1.1%2026-05-01 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.65%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%1.1%2026-05-01 15:44
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.65%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%1.1%2026-05-01 15:45
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.80%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.30%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.89%1.6%2026-05-01 15:55