La escuela de los momios

Viking FK v Rosenborg

Inicio: 2026-05-01 16:00 UTC

Final: Viking FK 3–0 Rosenborg

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Viking FK (Local)

Predicción 67.17%1.49momio equitativo
EV -4.62%
Ventaja -3.25%
Kelly -11.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.33%67.23%67.12%69.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.371.381.4276.92%72.89%72.46%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rosenborg (Visitante)

Predicción 13.98%7.15momio equitativo
EV +3.44%
Ventaja +0.465%
Kelly +0.537%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.11%13.96%14.07%15.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.756.466.507.4017.39%15.49%15.38%13.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 18.85%5.30momio equitativo
EV -0.084%
Ventaja -0.016%
Kelly -0.019%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.14%18.81%18.81%20.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.804.755.3023.81%20.85%21.05%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.38%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.12%EV +3.44%E +0.465%K +0.537%G +0.018%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.50%EV -1.03%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-01 15:29
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.35%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 13.11%EV +2.74%E +0.373%K +0.431%G +0.012%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.53%EV -1.97%E -0.379%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 15:55
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.43%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV +0.643%E +0.089%K +0.104%G +0.001%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -8.57%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 15:19
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.43%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV +0.643%E +0.089%K +0.104%G +0.001%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -8.57%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 15:19
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.15%E -0.308%K -0.359%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 15:35
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -10.66%E -8.02%K -32.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -2.15%E -0.308%K -0.359%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -1.97%E -0.379%K -0.469%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 15:23
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.56%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.61%EV -4.25%E -0.620%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -6.68%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 15:40
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.71%EV -7.98%E -5.82%K -21.56%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -5.65%E -0.837%K -0.982%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 15:35
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -9.32%E -6.90%K -26.63%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.69%EV -6.35%E -0.947%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 15:20
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 66.60%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.23%EV -7.74%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 15:19
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 66.60%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.23%EV -7.74%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 15:20
BetAnything1.41I 70.92%NM 66.60%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.23%EV -7.74%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 15:19
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.45%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.54%EV -8.58%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.01%EV -0.461%E -0.087%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 15:50
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 15:50
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 15:35
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:45
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:44
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:44
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:45
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:45
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:45
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:44
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 15:20
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:44
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:44
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:44
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 15:34
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 15:24
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -10.66%E -8.02%K -32.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-01 15:25
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 15:19
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 15:19
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.66%E -8.02%K -32.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.14%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-01 15:25
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.03%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.12%EV -9.42%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 18.63%EV -7.44%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 15:55
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 66.86%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.31%EV -9.84%E -1.53%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.83%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 15:35
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.69%EV -7.98%E -5.82%K -21.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -10.54%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 15:30
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.14%EV -7.98%E -5.82%K -21.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.16%EV -10.54%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 07:44
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.14%EV -7.98%E -5.82%K -21.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.16%EV -10.54%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 07:44
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 66.56%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -12.64%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 15:48
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.32%EV -10.66%E -8.02%K -32.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -12.64%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -0.084%E -0.016%K -0.019%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 10:14
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -12.64%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -15.17%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 15:54
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -12.64%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 07:44
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -10.66%E -8.02%K -32.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -12.64%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-01 15:25
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 67.19%EV -12.01%E -9.17%K -38.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.08%EV -12.64%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -11.39%E -2.42%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-01 15:34
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.07%EV -10.66%E -8.02%K -32.32%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.41%EV -14.73%E -2.42%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -15.17%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 07:44
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.52%EV -11.34%E -8.59%K -35.43%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.39%EV -14.73%E -2.42%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-01 15:35
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -16.13%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-01 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.48%EV -12.68%E -9.75%K -42.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -16.13%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.90%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-01 10:15
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -10.66%E -8.02%K -32.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.61%EV -16.13%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -15.17%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-01 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 65.52%EV -12.68%E -9.75%K -42.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.20%EV -16.13%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.28%EV -20.82%E -4.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-01 15:40
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -19.63%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.17%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 15:35
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -19.63%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.17%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -19.63%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.17%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -19.63%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.17%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 15:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.65%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%1.1%2026-05-01 15:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.65%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%1.1%2026-05-01 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.65%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%1.1%2026-05-01 15:44
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.65%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%1.1%2026-05-01 15:45
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.80%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.30%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.89%1.6%2026-05-01 15:55